Projected Income Statement: Argan

Forecast Balance Sheet: Argan

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,696 1,877 1,957 1,700 1,693 1,854 1,866 1,882
Change - 10.67% 4.26% -13.13% -0.41% 9.5% 0.65% 0.86%
Announcement Date 19/01/22 19/01/23 18/01/24 16/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Argan

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 - - 172.5 111.4 222 173 174
Change - - - -35.4% - -22.07% 0.58%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 103.2 -110.4 25.09 138.9 74 208 212
Change - -206.91% 122.73% 453.56% - 181.08% 1.92%
Announcement Date 19/01/22 19/01/23 18/01/24 16/01/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Argan

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 79.26% 76.05% 77.98% 77.7% 94.29% 94.29% 94.56% 94.62%
EBIT Margin (%) 79.2% 59.02% -91.16% 126.44% 137.22% 96.94% 99.08% 101.38%
EBT Margin (%) - - -111.83% 106.44% 116.7% 73.88% 71.49% 75.33%
Net margin (%) 359.91% 48.05% -119.39% 102.8% 115.66% 77.89% 79.07% 83.91%
FCF margin (%) 55.62% -55.77% 11.37% 58.12% - 33.44% 89.77% 88.52%
FCF / Net Income (%) 15.45% -116.06% -9.52% 56.53% - 42.93% 113.54% 105.5%

Profitability

        
ROA 16.93% 2.13% 2.95% 3.28% 3.59% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
ROE 6.22% 4.38% 6.12% 6.65% 6.68% 6.4% 6.32% 6.13%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 11.53x 12.47x 11.37x 9.15x 8.47x 8.88x 8.52x 8.31x
Debt / Free cash flow 16.43x -17.01x 77.99x 12.24x - 25.05x 8.97x 8.88x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - 78.14% 46.61% - 100.31% 74.66% 72.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - 100.2% 59.99% - 106.39% 78.96% 76.79%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - 687.25% 80.2% - 300% 83.17% 82.08%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - 8.089 - 7.763 7.804 7.926 7.981
Change - - - - - 0.52% 1.57% 0.69%
Dividend per Share 1 2.6 3 3.15 3.3 3.45 3.644 3.685 3.793
Change - 15.38% 5% 4.76% 4.55% 5.62% 1.13% 2.94%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - 81.8 87.6 93.6 94.2 96.65 100.2
Change - - - 7.09% 6.85% 0.64% 2.6% 3.7%
EPS 1 29.7 4.2 -11.4 10 9.6 6.303 6.558 7.223
Change - -85.86% -371.43% 187.72% -4% -34.34% 4.05% 10.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 22,587 22,940 23,059 25,392 25,721 25,751 25,751 25,751
Announcement Date 19/01/22 19/01/23 18/01/24 16/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.7x 11.3x
PBR 0.79x 0.77x
EV / Sales 17x 16.3x
Yield 4.92% 4.98%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
74.00EUR
Average target price
80.50EUR
Spread / Average Target
+8.78%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise