Projected Income Statement: BHP Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 5,507 333 11,166 9,120 12,924 9,730 10,281 10,569
Change - -93.95% 3,253.15% -18.32% 41.71% -24.71% 5.66% 2.8%
Announcement Date 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 18/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 6,606 5,855 6,733 8,816 9,398 10,574 10,847 10,409
Change - -11.37% 15% 30.94% 6.6% 12.52% 2.58% -4.04%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 20,114 25,215 11,968 11,849 9,294 11,152 10,812 12,028
Change - 25.36% -52.54% -0.99% -21.56% 19.99% -3.05% 11.24%
Announcement Date 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 18/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 61.46% 62.42% 51.95% 52.13% 50.72% 56% 55.61% 54.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 49.81% 52.84% 42.4% 42.46% 39.48% 45.71% 44.7% 42.72%
EBT Margin (%) 40.45% 50.9% 39.77% 28.83% 35.8% 43.05% 42.01% 39.75%
Net margin (%) 18.59% 47.47% 24.01% 14.19% 17.59% 21.84% 23.28% 23.1%
FCF margin (%) 33.07% 38.73% 22.24% 21.29% 18.13% 19.42% 18.83% 21.5%
FCF / Net Income (%) 177.94% 81.6% 92.62% 150.04% 103.05% 88.9% 80.87% 93.08%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.91% 30.28% 13.15% 13.41% 9.62% 10.68% 10.42% 9.74%
ROE 31.69% 49.5% 28.89% 30.59% 21.97% 24.49% 22.66% 19.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.15x 0.01x 0.4x 0.31x 0.5x 0.3x 0.32x 0.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.27x 0.01x 0.93x 0.77x 1.39x 0.87x 0.95x 0.88x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.86% 8.99% 12.51% 15.84% 18.33% 18.41% 18.89% 18.61%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.67% 14.41% 24.08% 30.38% 36.15% 32.88% 33.96% 34.23%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 32.84% 23.22% 56.26% 74.4% 101.12% 94.82% 100.33% 86.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.374 5.775 3.686 4.07 3.677 4.23 4.716 4.565
Change - 7.47% -36.17% 10.41% -9.65% 15.02% 11.5% -3.21%
Dividend per Share 1 3.01 3.25 1.7 1.46 1.1 1.515 1.538 1.454
Change - 7.97% -47.69% -14.12% -24.66% 37.73% 1.55% -5.47%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.14 8.882 8.786 8.838 9.392 10.74 11.94 13.01
Change - -12.38% -1.09% 0.59% 6.26% 14.4% 11.15% 8.98%
EPS 1 2.235 6.093 2.547 1.555 1.774 2.54 2.733 2.605
Change - 172.62% -58.2% -38.95% 14.08% 43.21% 7.58% -4.7%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,057,690 5,061,151 5,064,466 5,069,816 5,075,992 5,080,690 5,080,690 5,080,690
Announcement Date 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 18/08/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 18.2x 16.9x
PBR 4.3x 3.87x
EV / Sales 4.25x 4.26x
Yield 3.28% 3.33%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
46.17USD
Average target price
40.70USD
Spread / Average Target
-11.85%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  3. BHP Stock
  4. Financials BHP Group Limited
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