Projected Income Statement: CEZ,

Forecast Balance Sheet: CEZ,

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 110,700 - 158,018 205,825 231,490 221,415 230,463 233,774
Change - - - 30.25% 12.47% -4.35% 4.09% 1.44%
Announcement Date 15/03/22 21/03/23 21/03/24 13/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1CZK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CEZ,

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 32,226 44,792 54,116 62,716 69,030 71,170 69,775
Change - - 20.82% 15.89% 10.07% 3.1% -1.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 27,398 92,775 70,319 25,251 34,104 19,204 31,629
Change - - -24.2% -64.09% 35.06% -43.69% 64.7%
Announcement Date 15/03/22 21/03/24 13/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1CZK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CEZ,

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.76% 45.61% 36.65% 39.88% 41.1% 34.73% 35.1% 34.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.07% 35.33% 24.81% 27.11% 24.04% 17.62% 17.7% 17.16%
EBT Margin (%) 5.89% 34.53% 23.2% 24.21% 20.06% 13.25% 13.02% 12.17%
Net margin (%) 4.3% 28% 8.67% 8.68% 8.43% 10.33% 10.45% 9.64%
FCF margin (%) 12.03% - 27.24% 20.4% 7.57% 10.58% 6.38% 10.68%
FCF / Net Income (%) 279.83% - 314.24% 234.92% 89.84% 102.43% 61.08% 110.78%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - 3.46% 3.18% - - -
ROE 4.96% - 11.74% 12.39% 11.71% 13.27% 11.55% 10.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.75x - 1.27x 1.5x 1.69x 1.98x 2.18x 2.27x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.04x - 1.7x 2.93x 9.17x 6.49x 12x 7.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.15% - 13.15% 15.7% 18.81% 21.42% 23.66% 23.55%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 50.96% - 35.88% 39.37% 45.77% 61.69% 67.4% 67.89%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 117.62% - 48.28% 76.96% 248.37% 202.41% 370.59% 220.61%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 110.3 - - - 119.6 186.4 161.5 160.2
Change - - - - - 55.9% -13.38% -0.76%
Dividend per Share 1 44 - 52 47 47 45.95 47.64 41
Change - - - -9.62% 0% -2.24% 3.69% -13.94%
Book Value Per Share 1 300.1 - 454.6 445.7 448.9 474.1 479.4 489.5
Change - - - -1.96% 0.71% 5.63% 1.1% 2.12%
EPS 1 18.3 150.5 55 55.8 52.4 62.76 58.7 51.45
Change - 722.4% -63.46% 1.45% -6.09% 19.77% -6.47% -12.35%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 535,474 536,731 536,810 536,810 536,810 536,810 536,810 536,810
Announcement Date 15/03/22 21/03/23 21/03/24 13/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1CZK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 21.5x 23x
PBR 2.85x 2.82x
EV / Sales 2.94x 3.18x
Yield 3.4% 3.53%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
1,351.00CZK
Average target price
1,064.12CZK
Spread / Average Target
-21.23%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise