Projected Income Statement: Costco Wholesale Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Costco Wholesale Corporation

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -3,767 -3,646 -7,242 -4,009 -8,448 -11,756 -14,873 -17,468
Change - 3.21% -98.63% 44.64% -110.73% -39.16% -26.51% -17.45%
Announcement Date 23/09/21 22/09/22 26/09/23 26/09/24 25/09/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Costco Wholesale Corporation

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,588 3,891 4,323 4,710 5,498 6,294 6,428 6,811
Change - 8.44% 11.1% 8.95% 16.73% 14.47% 2.14% 5.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,370 3,501 6,745 6,629 7,837 8,253 8,527 10,455
Change - -34.8% 92.66% -1.72% 18.22% 5.3% 3.32% 22.61%
Announcement Date 23/09/21 22/09/22 26/09/23 26/09/24 25/09/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Costco Wholesale Corporation

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 4.33% 4.27% 4.21% 4.53% 4.65% 4.78% 4.93% 4.93%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.42% 3.43% 3.35% 3.65% 3.77% 3.89% 4% 4.08%
EBT Margin (%) 3.41% 3.45% 3.5% 3.83% 3.93% 4.04% 4.13% 4.22%
Net margin (%) 2.56% 2.57% 2.6% 2.9% 2.94% 3.05% 3.1% 3.17%
FCF margin (%) 2.74% 1.54% 2.78% 2.61% 2.85% 2.76% 2.64% 3%
FCF / Net Income (%) 107.25% 59.91% 107.2% 89.98% 96.77% 90.46% 85.16% 94.85%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.72% 9.47% 9.45% 10.61% 11.02% 10.74% 10.98% 11.05%
ROE 27.93% 30.59% 27.54% 30.27% 30.69% 28.54% 26.78% 24.69%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.83% 1.71% 1.78% 1.85% 2% 2.1% 1.99% 1.96%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 42.27% 40.14% 42.42% 40.88% 42.92% 44.02% 40.42% 39.69%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 66.82% 111.14% 64.09% 71.05% 70.15% 76.26% 75.39% 65.14%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.16 16.62 24.9 25.49 29.98 35.39 33.47 31.27
Change - -17.56% 49.83% 2.38% 17.59% 18.06% -5.44% -6.58%
Dividend per Share 1 2.98 3.38 3.84 19.36 4.92 5.443 5.955 6.318
Change - 13.42% 13.61% 404.17% -74.59% 10.63% 9.4% 6.1%
Book Value Per Share 1 39.75 46.63 56.61 53.31 65.8 80.32 94.82 111.2
Change - 17.3% 21.39% -5.83% 23.43% 22.08% 18.05% 17.22%
EPS 1 11.27 13.14 14.16 16.56 18.21 20.52 22.57 24.84
Change - 16.59% 7.76% 16.95% 9.96% 12.68% 9.99% 10.06%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 442,069 442,963 443,148 443,335 443,477 443,653 443,653 443,653
Announcement Date 23/09/21 22/09/22 26/09/23 26/09/24 25/09/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 49.2x 44.7x
PBR 12.6x 10.6x
EV / Sales 1.46x 1.34x
Yield 0.54% 0.59%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
36
Last Close Price
1,008.79USD
Average target price
1,072.22USD
Spread / Average Target
+6.29%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. COST Stock
  4. Financials Costco Wholesale Corporation