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Real-time Estimate
Cboe BZX
22:40:44 03/09/2026 +04
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 100.40 USD | -0.74% |
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-5.67% | -4.33% |
| 09:53pm | Layoffs Reach Lowest August Tally Since 2022, Challenger Report Shows | MT |
| 07:35pm | The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. Announces Management Changes | CI |
Projected Income Statement: Estee Lauder
| Fiscal Period: June | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 17,741 | 15,937 | 15,609 | 14,323 | 15,049 | 15,696 | 16,374 | 17,131 |
| Change | - | -10.17% | -2.06% | -8.24% | 5.07% | 4.3% | 4.32% | 4.62% |
| EBITDA 1 | 4,227 | 2,567 | 2,413 | 1,975 | 2,483 | 2,827 | 3,211 | 3,471 |
| Change | - | -39.27% | -6% | -18.15% | 25.72% | 13.86% | 13.58% | 8.1% |
| EBIT 1 | 3,500 | 1,823 | 1,588 | 1,146 | 1,687 | 2,064 | 2,369 | 2,630 |
| Change | - | -47.91% | -12.89% | -27.83% | 47.21% | 22.35% | 14.78% | 11.03% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -137 | -124 | -211 | -243 | -244 | -244.7 | -227.4 | -213.8 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 3,036 | 1,397 | 772 | -1,040 | 517 | 1,669 | 2,136 | 2,356 |
| Change | - | -53.99% | -44.74% | -234.72% | 149.71% | 222.9% | 27.93% | 10.3% |
| Net income 1 | 2,390 | 1,006 | 390 | -1,133 | 182 | 1,101 | 1,394 | 1,542 |
| Change | - | -57.91% | -61.23% | -390.51% | 116.06% | 504.9% | 26.62% | 10.62% |
| Announcement Date | 18/08/22 | 18/08/23 | 19/08/24 | 20/08/25 | 19/08/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Estee Lauder
| Fiscal Period: June | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,455 | 4,085 | 4,376 | 4,396 | 3,808 | 4,198 | 3,739 | 3,057 |
| Change | - | 180.76% | 7.12% | 0.46% | -13.38% | 10.24% | -10.93% | -18.24% |
| Announcement Date | 18/08/22 | 18/08/23 | 19/08/24 | 20/08/25 | 19/08/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Estee Lauder
| Fiscal Period: June | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,040 | 1,003 | 919 | 602 | 457 | 623.8 | 652.4 | 683 |
| Change | - | -3.56% | -8.37% | -34.49% | -24.09% | 36.5% | 4.59% | 4.68% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 2,000 | 728 | 1,441 | 670 | 1,316 | 903.7 | 1,596 | 1,748 |
| Change | - | -63.6% | 97.94% | -53.5% | 96.42% | -31.33% | 76.59% | 9.54% |
| Announcement Date | 18/08/22 | 18/08/23 | 19/08/24 | 20/08/25 | 19/08/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Estee Lauder
| Fiscal Period: June | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 23.83% | 16.11% | 15.46% | 13.79% | 16.5% | 18.01% | 19.61% | 20.26% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 19.73% | 11.44% | 10.17% | 8% | 11.21% | 13.15% | 14.47% | 15.35% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 17.11% | 8.77% | 4.95% | -7.26% | 3.44% | 10.64% | 13.04% | 13.75% |
| Net margin (%) | 13.47% | 6.31% | 2.5% | -7.91% | 1.21% | 7.01% | 8.51% | 9% |
| FCF margin (%) | 11.27% | 4.57% | 9.23% | 4.68% | 8.74% | 5.76% | 9.75% | 10.2% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 83.68% | 72.37% | 369.49% | -59.14% | 723.08% | 82.08% | 114.48% | 113.36% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 11.15% | 5.63% | 4.14% | 2.62% | 4.62% | 6.06% | 7.43% | 8.02% |
| ROE | 40.92% | 22.35% | 17.15% | 11.85% | 23.87% | 29.84% | 31.78% | 31.51% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.34x | 1.59x | 1.81x | 2.23x | 1.53x | 1.48x | 1.16x | 0.88x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.73x | 5.61x | 3.04x | 6.56x | 2.89x | 4.65x | 2.34x | 1.75x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 5.86% | 6.29% | 5.89% | 4.2% | 3.04% | 3.97% | 3.98% | 3.99% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 24.6% | 39.07% | 38.09% | 30.48% | 18.41% | 22.06% | 20.32% | 19.67% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 52% | 137.77% | 63.78% | 89.85% | 34.73% | 69.03% | 40.89% | 39.07% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 8.331 | 4.796 | 6.541 | 3.532 | 4.86 | 3.904 | 5.604 | 6.922 |
| Change | - | -42.43% | 36.38% | -46% | 37.59% | -19.68% | 43.57% | 23.52% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 2.33 | 2.58 | 2.64 | 1.71 | 1.4 | 1.598 | 1.726 | 1.943 |
| Change | - | 10.73% | 2.33% | -35.23% | -18.13% | 14.12% | 8.02% | 12.62% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 15.32 | 15.48 | 14.73 | 10.73 | 10.48 | 11.9 | 13.46 | 14.97 |
| Change | - | 1.02% | -4.83% | -27.13% | -2.34% | 13.55% | 13.09% | 11.19% |
| EPS 1 | 6.55 | 2.79 | 1.08 | -3.15 | 0.5 | 2.965 | 3.815 | 4.38 |
| Change | - | -57.4% | -61.29% | -391.67% | 115.87% | 492.99% | 28.68% | 14.8% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 357,347 | 357,413 | 358,564 | 359,752 | 361,795 | 361,799 | 361,799 | 361,799 |
| Announcement Date | 18/08/22 | 18/08/23 | 19/08/24 | 20/08/25 | 19/08/26 | - | - | - |
| 2027 * | 2028 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 34.1x | 26.5x |
| PBR | 8.5x | 7.51x |
| EV / Sales | 2.6x | 2.46x |
| Yield | 1.58% | 1.71% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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