Projected Income Statement: Fastenal Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Fastenal Company

Forecast Balance Sheet - Fastenal Company
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 154 325 38.7 -55.8 -152 -101 -180 -379
Change - 111.04% -88.09% -244.19% -172.4% 33.47% -78.22% -110.56%
Announcement Date 19/01/22 19/01/23 18/01/24 17/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Fastenal Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 156.6 173.8 172.8 226.5 245.3 300.8 308.2 324.1
Change - 10.98% -0.58% 31.08% 8.3% 22.61% 2.48% 5.14%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 613.5 767.2 1,260 946.8 1,051 1,182 1,272 1,369
Change - 25.05% 64.22% -24.85% 10.96% 12.55% 7.58% 7.64%
Announcement Date 19/01/22 19/01/23 18/01/24 17/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Fastenal Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.09% 23.35% 23.22% 22.34% 22.38% 22.68% 22.79% 23.22%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.25% 20.82% 20.81% 20.01% 20.19% 20.68% 20.84% 21.07%
EBT Margin (%) 20.09% 20.63% 20.72% 19.99% 20.18% 20.67% 20.85% 21.07%
Net margin (%) 15.39% 15.57% 15.72% 15.25% 15.35% 15.66% 15.79% 15.98%
FCF margin (%) 10.21% 10.99% 17.15% 12.55% 12.81% 12.6% 12.51% 12.43%
FCF / Net Income (%) 66.32% 70.59% 109.08% 82.29% 83.49% 80.49% 79.22% 77.79%

Profitability

        
ROA 22.39% 24.57% 25.63% 25.12% 25.81% 28.3% 28.2% 28.4%
ROE 32.03% 35.03% 35.47% 33.04% 33.29% 35.26% 36.16% 36.21%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.11x 0.2x 0.02x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.25x 0.42x 0.03x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.61% 2.49% 2.35% 3% 2.99% 3.21% 3.03% 2.94%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.28% 10.66% 10.13% 13.44% 13.37% 14.14% 13.3% 12.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 25.53% 22.65% 13.72% 23.92% 23.35% 25.43% 24.23% 23.67%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.667 0.8174 1.25 1.022 1.127 1.304 1.352 1.529
Change - 22.55% 52.94% -18.29% 10.29% 15.79% 3.66% 13.06%
Dividend per Share 1 0.56 0.62 0.7 0.78 0.875 1 1.051 1.123
Change - 10.71% 12.9% 11.43% 12.18% 14.29% 5.11% 6.86%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.643 2.748 2.927 3.154 3.435 3.674 4.007 4.389
Change - 3.95% 6.54% 7.74% 8.92% 6.97% 9.05% 9.54%
EPS 1 0.8 0.945 1.01 1 1.09 1.274 1.398 1.533
Change - 18.12% 6.88% -0.99% 9% 16.91% 9.74% 9.63%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,150,327 1,145,520 1,143,200 1,145,773 1,148,036 1,147,265 1,147,265 1,147,265
Announcement Date 19/01/22 19/01/23 18/01/24 17/01/25 20/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 40.8x 37.2x
PBR 14.2x 13x
EV / Sales 6.35x 5.85x
Yield 1.92% 2.02%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Fastenal Company


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Fastenal Company
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Fastenal Company
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Fastenal Company
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
52.00USD
Average target price
49.84USD
Spread / Average Target
-4.16%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Fastenal Company
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