Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 39,405 35,885 33,513 32,313
Change - -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% 8.24% -8.93% -6.61% -3.58%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,932 6,426 6,513 6,508
Change - 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 5.72% 8.33% 1.35% -0.08%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 -290 6,326 5,923 6,202
Change - 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -106.53% 2,281.42% -6.37% 4.71%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.45% 6.96% 7.49% 7.43%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.42% 4.63% 4.87% 4.76%
EBT Margin (%) 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 0.13% 3.3% 3.84% 3.68%
Net margin (%) 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.16% 2.26% 2.65% 2.56%
FCF margin (%) 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% -0.12% 2.21% 2.14% 2.24%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% -72.5% 98.01% 80.55% 87.32%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 0.27% 5.86% 6.1% 6.31%
ROE 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 5.78% 16.2% 17.12% 16.2%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.92x 1.8x 1.62x 1.57x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x -135.88x 5.67x 5.66x 5.21x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.4% 2.25% 2.35% 2.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 43.94% 32.31% 31.39% 31.61%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% -2,045.52% 101.58% 109.96% 104.94%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.4678 1.021 1.208 1.05
Change - 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -42.9% 118.19% 18.3% -13.05%
Dividend per Share 1 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.2267 0.2968 0.3168
Change - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 0% 126.68% 30.93% 6.74%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.257 3.495 3.737 4.039
Change - 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -11.86% 7.31% 6.91% 8.07%
EPS 1 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.03 0.5618 0.6247 0.6132
Change - 250% -74.44% -138.24% 123.08% 1,772.67% 11.2% -1.85%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,157,132 11,713,994 11,715,401 11,715,401 11,715,401
Announcement Date 15/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.2x 11x
PBR 1.97x 1.84x
EV / Sales 0.41x 0.41x
Yield 3.3% 4.32%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
6.870USD
Average target price
8.332USD
Spread / Average Target
+21.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. GLEN Stock
  4. Financials Glencore plc