Company Valuation: Heineken N.V.

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 56,918 50,583 52,101 38,487 38,598 37,059 - -
Change - -11.13% 3% -26.13% 0.29% -3.99% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 70,543 64,114 67,936 53,138 53,077 54,058 52,876 51,609
Change - -9.11% 5.96% -21.78% -0.11% 1.85% -2.19% -2.4%
P/E ratio 17.1x 18.9x 22.5x 39.5x 20.6x 15x 13.8x 12.6x
PBR 3.28x 2.59x 2.58x 1.72x 2.16x 1.99x 1.85x 1.71x
PEG - -1x -1.9x -0.7x 0.2x 0.4x 1.55x 1.33x
Capitalization / Revenue 2.6x 1.76x 1.72x 1.07x 1.13x 1.2x 1.16x 1.12x
EV / Revenue 3.22x 2.23x 2.24x 1.48x 1.55x 1.76x 1.66x 1.56x
EV / EBITDA 13.9x 10.6x 9.5x 7.84x 7.97x 7.79x 7.25x 6.77x
EV / EBIT 20.7x 14.2x 15.3x 11.8x 12.1x 11.3x 10.5x 9.7x
EV / FCF 24.7x 23.7x 34x 17.5x 20.3x 20.6x 18.8x 17.6x
FCF Yield 4.05% 4.22% 2.94% 5.72% 4.92% 4.86% 5.31% 5.68%
Dividend per Share 2 1.24 1.73 1.73 1.86 1.9 2.02 2.154 2.282
Rate of return 1.25% 1.97% 1.88% 2.71% 2.72% 2.93% 3.13% 3.32%
EPS 2 5.77 4.65 4.09 1.74 3.38 4.597 5.006 5.481
Distribution rate 21.5% 37.2% 42.3% 107% 56.2% 43.9% 43% 41.6%
Net sales 1 21,901 28,694 30,308 35,955 34,257 30,759 31,925 33,091
EBITDA 1 5,087 6,055 7,154 6,780 6,658 6,938 7,295 7,623
EBIT 1 3,414 4,502 4,443 4,512 4,385 4,797 5,046 5,321
Net income 1 3,324 2,682 2,304 978 1,885 2,562 2,773 2,985
Net Debt 1 13,625 13,531 15,835 14,651 14,479 16,999 15,817 14,550
Reference price 2 98.86 87.88 91.94 68.70 69.74 68.84 68.84 68.84
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 575,740 575,595 566,680 560,214 553,454 538,332 - -
Announcement Date 16/02/22 15/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
14.46x1.72x7.61x3.04% 41.31B
17.18x3.29x9.1x1.84% 153B
15.37x2.52x7.47x5.72% 48.72B
12.18x3.82x10.11x3% 24.25B
13.59x1.86x8.68x3.79% 18B
14.48x1.2x8.64x3.37% 13.74B
12.45x1.16x8.07x2.99% 13.24B
17.09x1.7x7.97x4.09% 10.38B
Average 14.60x 2.16x 8.46x 3.48% 40.32B
Weighted average by Cap. 15.67x 2.70x 8.62x 2.96%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Heineken N.V.
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