Projected Income Statement: Lufthansa

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,023 6,871 5,682 5,744 6,406 6,048 5,938 5,045
Change - -23.85% -17.3% 1.09% 11.53% -5.59% -1.82% -15.04%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 03/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 06/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,329 2,286 4,115 3,743 2,781 3,168 3,629 3,437
Change - 72.01% 80.01% -9.04% -25.7% 13.91% 14.55% -5.28%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -855 2,882 2,134 840 1,256 1,694 1,432 2,109
Change - 437.08% -25.95% -60.64% 49.52% 34.87% -15.47% 47.28%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 03/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 06/03/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 0.2% 11.55% 13.85% 10.6% 10.93% 10.19% 11.19% 11.81%
EBIT Margin (%) -13.97% 4.6% 7.57% 4.38% 4.95% 4.51% 5.42% 6.04%
EBT Margin (%) -15.5% 3.2% 6.54% 4.19% 4.85% 3.83% 4.93% 5.63%
Net margin (%) -13.03% 2.41% 4.72% 3.67% 3.38% 3.01% 3.64% 4.04%
FCF margin (%) -5.09% 8.79% 6.02% 2.24% 3.17% 4% 3.23% 4.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 39.02% 364.35% 127.56% 60.87% 93.8% 132.91% 88.7% 112.49%

Profitability

        
ROA -5.34% 1.84% 3.77% 2.99% 2.81% 2.42% 3.48% 3.71%
ROE -75.59% 12.31% 18.62% 13.02% 11.55% 10.42% 12.43% 13.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 273.42x 1.81x 1.16x 1.44x 1.48x 1.4x 1.2x 0.92x
Debt / Free cash flow -10.55x 2.38x 2.66x 6.84x 5.1x 3.57x 4.15x 2.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.91% 6.98% 11.61% 9.96% 7.02% 7.48% 8.18% 7.41%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 4,027.27% 60.38% 83.81% 94% 64.24% 73.43% 73.14% 62.73%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -155.44% 79.32% 192.83% 445.6% 221.42% 187.01% 253.41% 162.98%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.8367 4.325 4.138 3.228 3.374 2.998 3.465 3.537
Change - 416.88% -4.32% -21.99% 4.5% -11.13% 15.57% 2.09%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.3 0.3 0.33 0.3198 0.3875 0.4722
Change - - - 0% 10% -3.1% 21.2% 21.85%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.722 7.031 8.083 9.645 9.721 10.39 11.53 12.89
Change - 88.88% 14.97% 19.33% 0.79% 6.89% 11% 11.74%
EPS 1 -2.99 0.66 1.4 1.15 1.12 1.066 1.384 1.582
Change - 122.07% 112.12% -17.86% -2.61% -4.79% 29.83% 14.28%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,198,299 1,198,293 1,199,265 1,199,265 1,199,265
Announcement Date 03/03/22 03/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 06/03/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 7.28x 5.61x
PBR 0.75x 0.67x
EV / Sales 0.36x 0.34x
Yield 4.12% 4.99%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
7.766EUR
Average target price
8.558EUR
Spread / Average Target
+10.20%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise