Projected Income Statement: Novo Nordisk A/S

Forecast Balance Sheet: Novo Nordisk A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -2,401 9,160 2,210 -3,224 76,479 104,916 99,390 82,651
Change - 481.51% -75.87% -245.88% 2,472.18% 37.18% -5.27% -16.84%
Announcement Date 03/02/21 02/02/22 01/02/23 31/01/24 05/02/25 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Novo Nordisk A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 5,825 6,335 12,146 25,806 47,164 62,365 47,730 38,298
Change - 8.76% 91.73% 112.47% 82.76% 32.23% -23.47% -19.76%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 28,565 29,319 57,362 68,326 73,804 50,774 65,662 87,468
Change - 2.64% 95.65% 19.11% 8.02% -31.2% 29.32% 33.21%
Announcement Date 03/02/21 02/02/22 01/02/23 31/01/24 05/02/25 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Novo Nordisk A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 47.17% 45.93% 46.44% 48.22% 50.77% 48.36% 47.87% 48.18%
EBIT Margin (%) 42.64% 41.65% 42.28% 44.16% 44.19% 41.75% 41.94% 42.24%
EBT Margin (%) 41.85% 41.96% 39.03% 45.07% 43.8% 42.56% 41.87% 41.97%
Net margin (%) 33.19% 33.92% 31.38% 36.03% 34.78% 33.47% 32.77% 32.98%
FCF margin (%) 22.5% 20.82% 32.42% 29.42% 25.41% 16.49% 21.54% 26.58%
FCF / Net Income (%) 67.79% 61.39% 103.31% 81.65% 73.08% 49.26% 65.72% 80.59%

Profitability

        
ROA 31.15% 28.14% 25.48% 30.12% 25.88% 20.77% 19.21% 19.8%
ROE 69.7% 71.24% 72% 88.07% 80.78% 61.61% 48% 43.66%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.14x 0.03x - 0.52x 0.7x 0.68x 0.52x
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.31x 0.04x - 1.04x 2.07x 1.51x 0.94x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.59% 4.5% 6.86% 11.11% 16.24% 20.25% 15.65% 11.64%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.73% 9.8% 14.78% 23.04% 31.99% 41.88% 32.7% 24.16%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 20.39% 21.61% 21.17% 37.77% 63.9% 122.83% 72.69% 43.78%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.1 11.94 17.36 24.23 27.1 23.64 24.59 26.07
Change - 7.57% 45.37% 39.6% 11.85% -12.77% 4.02% 6.01%
Dividend per Share 1 4.55 5.2 6.2 9.4 11.4 11.64 11.38 12.09
Change - 14.29% 19.23% 51.61% 21.28% 2.06% -2.2% 6.21%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.47 15.31 18.31 23.77 32.31 42.47 50.9 59.01
Change - 13.65% 19.56% 29.84% 35.92% 31.44% 19.86% 15.93%
EPS 1 9.005 10.37 12.22 18.62 22.63 23.08 22.65 24.36
Change - 15.16% 17.84% 52.37% 21.54% 1.99% -1.88% 7.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,624,923 4,557,801 4,517,704 4,458,288 4,441,340 4,443,479 4,443,479 4,443,479
Announcement Date 03/02/21 02/02/22 01/02/23 31/01/24 05/02/25 - - -
1DKK
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 16.4x 16.7x
PBR 8.91x 7.43x
EV / Sales 5.8x 5.84x
Yield 3.08% 3.01%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
378.25DKK
Average target price
395.79DKK
Spread / Average Target
+4.64%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NOVO B Stock
  4. Financials Novo Nordisk A/S