Projected Income Statement: Rio Tinto plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,576 4,188 4,231 5,491 14,362 12,848 10,081 7,212
Change - 365.74% 1.03% 29.78% 161.56% -10.54% -21.54% -28.46%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,384 6,750 7,086 9,621 12,335 10,910 10,107 9,100
Change - -8.59% 4.98% 35.77% 28.21% -11.55% -7.36% -9.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 17,961 9,010 7,657 5,978 5,978 10,193 11,152 13,211
Change - -49.84% -15.02% -21.93% 0% 70.51% 9.4% 18.47%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Rio Tinto plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 59.41% 47.29% 44.21% 43.45% 44% 46.46% 47.08% 47.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 52.01% 36.92% 28.68% 30.73% 28.48% 34.14% 34.03% 33.43%
EBT Margin (%) 48.56% 33.59% 25.51% 29.1% 25.27% 31.83% 32.22% 30.97%
Net margin (%) 33.22% 22.36% 18.61% 21.53% 17.29% 22.03% 22.28% 21.72%
FCF margin (%) 28.29% 16.22% 14.17% 11.14% 10.37% 16.01% 17.12% 19.98%
FCF / Net Income (%) 85.15% 72.54% 76.13% 51.75% 59.98% 72.66% 76.87% 92%

Profitability

        
ROA 21.06% 12.44% 10.04% 11.2% 8.63% 11.99% 11.62% 11.05%
ROE 42.84% 24.45% 19.12% 21.04% 16.02% 22.11% 20.98% 18.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.16x 0.18x 0.24x 0.57x 0.43x 0.33x 0.23x
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.46x 0.55x 0.92x 2.4x 1.26x 0.9x 0.55x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.63% 12.15% 13.11% 17.93% 21.4% 17.14% 15.52% 13.76%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.58% 25.69% 29.66% 41.27% 48.63% 36.88% 32.97% 28.97%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.11% 74.92% 92.54% 160.94% 206.34% 107.03% 90.63% 68.88%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 15.56 9.901 9.292 9.55 10.28 12.57 13.44 13.16
Change - -36.37% -6.15% 2.77% 7.61% 22.36% 6.89% -2.07%
Dividend per Share 1 10.4 4.92 4.35 4.02 4.02 5 5.025 4.934
Change - -52.69% -11.59% -7.59% 0% 24.38% 0.5% -1.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 31.78 30.98 33.67 42.79 38.3 42.82 46.31 49.38
Change - -2.53% 8.68% 27.11% -10.49% 11.8% 8.15% 6.64%
EPS 1 12.95 7.621 6.165 7.072 6.084 8.488 8.792 8.166
Change - -41.15% -19.11% 14.71% -13.97% 39.51% 3.59% -7.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,618,208 1,619,647 1,621,558 1,623,047 1,624,926 1,626,122 1,626,122 1,626,122
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 12.5x 12x
PBR 2.47x 2.29x
EV / Sales 3.07x 2.96x
Yield 4.72% 4.74%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
105.92USD
Average target price
101.51USD
Spread / Average Target
-4.16%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. RIO Stock
  4. Financials Rio Tinto plc
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