Projected Income Statement: Securitas AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Securitas AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,551 40,534 37,530 37,923 31,301 28,415 25,192 21,455
Change - 178.57% -7.41% 1.05% -17.46% -9.22% -11.34% -14.83%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Securitas AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,824 3,567 4,114 4,029 3,974 3,623 3,727 3,826
Change - 26.31% 15.34% -2.07% -1.37% -8.84% 2.9% 2.64%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,999 3,422 4,938 5,077 6,832 6,521 7,067 7,613
Change - -14.43% 44.3% 2.81% 34.57% -4.55% 8.37% 7.73%
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Securitas AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.79% 8.06% 8.38% 8.82% 9.7% 10.19% 10.36% 10.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.28% 5.72% 6.12% 6.52% 7.05% 7.54% 7.69% 7.7%
EBT Margin (%) 4.02% 4.3% 1.8% 4.33% 4.7% 6.24% 6.6% 6.91%
Net margin (%) 2.91% 3.23% 0.82% 3.19% 3.3% 4.52% 4.77% 4.94%
FCF margin (%) 3.71% 2.57% 3.14% 3.14% 4.4% 4.34% 4.56% 4.74%
FCF / Net Income (%) 127.64% 79.4% 384.28% 98.39% 133.57% 95.96% 95.5% 95.79%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.2% 5.64% 1.11% 4.3% - - - -
ROE 19.73% 17.64% 15.05% 15.61% 16.2% 18.04% 17.59% 17.14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.73x 3.77x 2.85x 2.65x 2.08x 1.85x 1.57x 1.28x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.64x 11.85x 7.6x 7.47x 4.58x 4.36x 3.56x 2.82x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.62% 2.68% 2.62% 2.49% 2.56% 2.41% 2.4% 2.38%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.65% 33.22% 31.21% 28.21% 26.42% 23.65% 23.2% 22.79%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 70.62% 104.24% 83.31% 79.36% 58.17% 55.55% 52.74% 50.25%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 15.28 12.21 - 16.4 17.74 14.7 15.87 20.38
Change - -20.04% - - 8.17% -17.1% 7.92% 28.42%
Dividend per Share 1 4.4 3.45 3.8 4.5 - 5.844 6.53 6.935
Change - -21.59% 10.14% 18.42% - - 11.75% 6.2%
Book Value Per Share 1 56.96 63.52 64 74.49 68.13 74.71 81.57 88.97
Change - 11.52% 0.74% 16.4% -8.54% 9.65% 9.19% 9.07%
EPS 1 8.59 9.2 2.24 9.01 8.93 11.82 12.85 13.78
Change - 7.1% -75.65% 302.23% -0.89% 32.38% 8.74% 7.17%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 364,584 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918 572,918
Announcement Date 08/02/22 07/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14.2x 13.1x
PBR 2.25x 2.06x
EV / Sales 0.83x 0.78x
Yield 3.48% 3.89%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
168.00SEK
Average target price
159.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
-5.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. SECU B Stock
  4. Financials Securitas AB