Projected Income Statement: Shell plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 52,555 44,837 43,541 38,809 45,687 43,415 37,831 33,860
Change - -14.69% -2.89% -10.87% 17.72% -4.97% -12.86% -10.5%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 19,000 22,600 22,993 19,601 18,947 20,299 20,719 21,153
Change - 18.95% 1.74% -14.75% -3.34% 7.13% 2.07% 2.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 40,345 45,814 36,460 39,530 26,052 31,180 28,557 26,628
Change - 13.56% -20.42% 8.42% -34.1% 19.69% -8.41% -6.76%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.03% 22.1% 21.65% 23.14% 21.03% 21.91% 21.36% 20.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.52% 16.42% 11.76% 15.16% 12.73% 15.1% 13.44% 12.72%
EBT Margin (%) 11.41% 17% 10.31% 10.52% 11.15% 13.19% 12.84% 11.31%
Net margin (%) 7.69% 11.1% 6.11% 5.66% 6.68% 8.38% 8.38% 7.95%
FCF margin (%) 15.43% 12.01% 11.52% 13.9% 9.76% 9.41% 9.38% 8.82%
FCF / Net Income (%) 200.71% 108.28% 188.33% 245.63% 146.05% 112.27% 112% 110.91%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.92% 9.41% 6.7% 5.97% 4.89% 9.6% 7.4% 6.5%
ROE 11.79% 23.35% 15% 13% 10.51% 16.84% 13.55% 12.61%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.96x 0.53x 0.64x 0.59x 0.81x 0.6x 0.58x 0.54x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.3x 0.98x 1.19x 0.98x 1.75x 1.39x 1.32x 1.27x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.27% 5.93% 7.26% 6.89% 7.1% 6.12% 6.81% 7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.54% 26.81% 33.55% 29.79% 33.75% 27.95% 31.87% 33.76%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.09% 49.33% 63.06% 49.59% 72.73% 65.1% 72.55% 79.44%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.778 9.232 7.97 8.593 7.206 9.076 9.242 9.656
Change - 59.79% -13.67% 7.82% -16.15% 25.96% 1.83% 4.48%
Dividend per Share 1 0.8935 0.99 1.294 1.39 1.446 1.556 1.623 1.682
Change - 10.8% 30.66% 7.46% 4.03% 7.6% 4.3% 3.65%
Book Value Per Share 1 22.38 27.2 28.6 29.16 30.5 32.46 35.73 38.51
Change - 21.53% 5.16% 1.95% 4.59% 6.45% 10.07% 7.79%
EPS 1 2.57 5.71 2.85 2.53 3 5.333 4.898 4.816
Change - 122.18% -50.09% -11.23% 18.58% 77.78% -8.16% -1.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,640,301 7,003,503 6,524,109 6,115,031 5,720,615 5,573,898 5,573,898 5,573,898
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 7.76x 8.45x
PBR 1.28x 1.16x
EV / Sales 0.83x 0.88x
Yield 3.76% 3.92%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
43.23USD
Average target price
52.05USD
Spread / Average Target
+20.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. SHEL Stock
  4. Financials Shell plc
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