Projected Income Statement: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Forecast Balance Sheet: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -335,431 -707,836 -764,452 -1,435,557 -2,075,440 -2,799,659 -4,021,075 -5,761,480
Change - -111.02% -8% -87.79% -44.57% -34.89% -43.63% -43.28%
Announcement Date 13/01/22 12/01/23 18/01/24 16/01/25 15/01/26 - - -
1TWD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 839,196 1,082,672 949,820 956,007 1,272,411 1,771,383 2,149,895 2,459,864
Change - 29.01% -12.27% 0.65% 33.1% 39.21% 21.37% 14.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 272,965 527,927 292,150 870,170 1,002,565 1,506,790 2,050,646 2,811,273
Change - 93.4% -44.66% 197.85% 15.21% 50.29% 36.09% 37.09%
Announcement Date 13/01/22 12/01/23 18/01/24 16/01/25 15/01/26 - - -
1TWD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 67.55% 68.84% 67.24% 68.58% 68.89% 74.21% 74.05% 73.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 40.95% 49.53% 42.63% 45.68% 50.83% 58.2% 57.78% 57.53%
EBT Margin (%) 41.77% 50.54% 45.3% 48.57% 53.6% 60.11% 59.99% 59.37%
Net margin (%) 37.58% 44.9% 38.79% 40.54% 45.1% 49.64% 49.22% 48.45%
FCF margin (%) 17.2% 23.32% 13.51% 30.06% 26.32% 28.9% 30.6% 33.42%
FCF / Net Income (%) 45.76% 51.93% 34.84% 74.17% 58.36% 58.22% 62.16% 68.97%

Profitability

        
ROA 16.9% 23.39% 15.98% 19.2% 23.49% 27.41% 27.75% 27.86%
ROE 29.69% 39.76% 26.2% 30.29% 35.39% 39.11% 37.66% 35.54%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 52.87% 47.82% 43.94% 33.03% 33.4% 33.98% 32.08% 29.24%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 78.26% 69.47% 65.34% 48.17% 48.49% 45.78% 43.32% 39.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 307.44% 205.08% 325.11% 109.86% 126.92% 117.56% 104.84% 87.5%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 42.89 62.12 47.9 70.43 87.73 128.6 166.8 208.2
Change - 44.82% -22.89% 47.03% 24.57% 46.55% 29.69% 24.87%
Dividend per Share 1 11 11 13 16.99 22 25.67 31.36 38.08
Change - 0% 18.18% 30.69% 29.49% 16.67% 22.17% 21.44%
Book Value Per Share 1 83.62 113.6 133.4 165.4 209 289.4 395.1 529.1
Change - 35.86% 17.42% 23.98% 26.37% 38.47% 36.52% 33.91%
EPS 1 23.01 39.2 32.34 45.25 66.25 100.6 129.3 164.6
Change - 70.36% -17.5% 39.92% 46.41% 51.88% 28.55% 27.22%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 25,930,380 25,930,380 25,932,071 25,932,733 25,932,524 25,932,370 25,932,370 25,932,370
Announcement Date 13/01/22 12/01/23 18/01/24 16/01/25 15/01/26 - - -
1TWD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 24.2x 18.9x
PBR 8.43x 6.18x
EV / Sales 11.6x 8.84x
Yield 1.05% 1.29%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
33
Last Close Price
2,440.00TWD
Average target price
2,882.79TWD
Spread / Average Target
+18.15%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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