Projected Income Statement: Union Pacific Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Union Pacific Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - Union Pacific Corporation
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 28,723 32,307 31,508 30,156 30,548 26,557 23,552 20,646
Change - 12.48% -2.47% -4.29% 1.3% -13.06% -11.32% -12.34%
Announcement Date 20/01/22 24/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Union Pacific Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,936 3,620 3,606 3,452 3,791 3,377 3,541 3,792
Change - 23.3% -0.39% -4.27% 9.82% -10.92% 4.84% 7.09%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,096 5,742 4,773 5,894 5,499 7,252 7,761 8,203
Change - -5.81% -16.88% 23.49% -6.7% 31.89% 7.01% 5.7%
Announcement Date 20/01/22 24/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Union Pacific Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 52.95% 48.9% 47.27% 49.94% 50.23% 50.28% 51.46% 52.57%
EBIT Margin (%) 42.83% 39.87% 37.65% 40.05% 40.17% 40.45% 41.84% 43.18%
EBT Margin (%) 38.88% 36.47% 34.13% 36.26% 37.4% 36.66% 38.75% 40.42%
Net margin (%) 29.92% 28.13% 26.45% 27.82% 29.12% 28.36% 29.55% 30.94%
FCF margin (%) 27.96% 23.08% 19.79% 24.31% 22.44% 26.75% 27.31% 27.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.45% 82.05% 74.82% 87.36% 77.04% 94.34% 92.39% 89.36%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.36% 10.85% 9.62% 10.07% 10.11% 10.71% 10.93% 11.28%
ROE 41.9% 53.17% 47.3% 42.6% 40.4% 37.01% 33% 30.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.49x 2.66x 2.76x 2.49x 2.48x 1.95x 1.61x 1.32x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.71x 5.63x 6.6x 5.12x 5.56x 3.66x 3.03x 2.52x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.47% 14.55% 14.95% 14.24% 15.47% 12.46% 12.46% 12.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.43% 29.76% 31.63% 28.5% 30.79% 24.78% 24.21% 24.31%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 48.16% 63.04% 75.55% 58.57% 68.94% 46.57% 45.62% 46.22%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.78 15 13.73 15.36 15.65 18 19.09 -
Change - 8.87% -8.47% 11.83% 1.93% 14.99% 6.06% -
Dividend per Share 1 4.29 5.08 5.2 5.28 5.44 5.538 5.7 6.13
Change - 18.41% 2.36% 1.54% 3.03% 1.81% 2.92% 7.55%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.66 19.49 24.23 27.75 30.99 38.61 47.23 53.62
Change - -10.01% 24.33% 14.51% 11.67% 24.6% 22.31% 13.54%
EPS 1 9.95 11.21 10.45 11.09 11.98 12.89 14.12 15.55
Change - 12.66% -6.78% 6.12% 8.03% 7.57% 9.54% 10.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 642,876 642,876 609,597 606,257 593,161 594,075 594,075 594,075
Announcement Date 20/01/22 24/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.3x 20.3x
PBR 7.43x 6.08x
EV / Sales 7.31x 6.87x
Yield 1.93% 1.99%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Union Pacific Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Union Pacific Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Union Pacific Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Union Pacific Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
287.01USD
Average target price
327.62USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.15%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Union Pacific Corporation
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