Projected Income Statement: VINCI

Forecast Balance Sheet: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 19,266 18,536 16,126 20,415 19,075 19,097 17,525 16,035
Change - -3.79% -13% 26.6% -6.56% 0.12% -8.23% -8.5%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 09/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,892 3,292 3,140 4,161 4,184 4,594 4,726 4,780
Change - 74% -4.62% 32.52% 0.55% 9.79% 2.88% 1.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,282 4,146 6,628 6,808 7,702 5,489 5,401 5,739
Change - -21.51% 59.86% 2.72% 13.13% -28.74% -1.61% 6.28%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 09/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.96% 16.56% 17.38% 17.72% 18.11% 18.24% 18.36% 18.54%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.56% 11.06% 12.14% 12.56% 12.81% 12.9% 13.03% 13.19%
EBT Margin (%) 7.73% 9.98% 10.2% 10.3% 10.64% 11.01% 11.2% 11.48%
Net margin (%) 5.26% 6.91% 6.83% 6.79% 6.57% 6.74% 7.13% 7.45%
FCF margin (%) 10.69% 6.72% 9.63% 9.51% 10.32% 7.18% 6.84% 7.05%
FCF / Net Income (%) 203.39% 97.35% 140.96% 140% 157.09% 106.62% 95.95% 94.53%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.72% 4% 4.08% 3.92% 3.73% 4.4% 4.81% 5.02%
ROE 11.83% 17.45% 17.4% 16.75% 16.16% 16.25% 16.33% 16.54%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.44x 1.81x 1.35x 1.61x 1.41x 1.37x 1.21x 1.06x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.65x 4.47x 2.43x 3x 2.48x 3.48x 3.25x 2.79x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.83% 5.34% 4.56% 5.81% 5.61% 6.01% 5.99% 5.87%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24% 32.23% 26.25% 32.79% 30.98% 32.94% 32.62% 31.65%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 35.82% 79.4% 47.37% 61.12% 54.32% 83.7% 87.51% 83.29%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.56 16.45 13.5 14.33 20.97 16.63 17.54 18.87
Change - 21.38% -17.97% 6.16% 46.35% -20.69% 5.47% 7.57%
Dividend per Share 1 2.9 4 4.5 4.75 5 5.323 5.79 6.395
Change - 37.93% 12.5% 5.56% 5.26% 6.46% 8.78% 10.44%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.98 45.47 49.48 51.89 52.86 61.03 63.36 67.86
Change - 16.64% 8.82% 4.88% 1.86% 15.46% 3.82% 7.11%
EPS 1 4.51 7.47 8.18 8.43 8.65 9.046 9.934 10.72
Change - 65.63% 9.5% 3.06% 2.61% 4.57% 9.82% 7.92%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 567,846 563,597 570,844 563,091 556,784 528,293 528,293 528,293
Announcement Date 04/02/22 09/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.7x 12.5x
PBR 2.03x 1.95x
EV / Sales 1.11x 1.05x
Yield 4.3% 4.68%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
123.85EUR
Average target price
143.20EUR
Spread / Average Target
+15.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise