Projected Income Statement: VINCI

Forecast Balance Sheet: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 19,266 18,536 16,126 20,415 19,075 18,950 17,544 16,146
Change - -3.79% -13% 26.6% -6.56% -0.66% -7.42% -7.97%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 09/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,892 3,292 3,140 4,161 4,184 4,597 4,731 4,786
Change - 74% -4.62% 32.52% 0.55% 9.87% 2.93% 1.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,282 4,146 6,628 6,808 7,702 5,485 5,474 5,677
Change - -21.51% 59.86% 2.72% 13.13% -28.79% -0.2% 3.72%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 09/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.96% 16.56% 17.38% 17.72% 18.11% 18.27% 18.4% 18.57%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.56% 11.06% 12.14% 12.56% 12.81% 12.89% 13.07% 13.22%
EBT Margin (%) 7.73% 9.98% 10.2% 10.3% 10.64% 10.95% 11.26% 11.56%
Net margin (%) 5.26% 6.91% 6.83% 6.79% 6.57% 6.77% 7.19% 7.46%
FCF margin (%) 10.69% 6.72% 9.63% 9.51% 10.32% 7.17% 6.92% 6.96%
FCF / Net Income (%) 203.39% 97.35% 140.96% 140% 157.09% 105.94% 96.34% 93.31%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.72% 4% 4.08% 3.92% 3.73% 4.48% 4.85% 5.06%
ROE 11.83% 17.45% 17.4% 16.75% 16.16% 15.99% 16.66% 16.66%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.44x 1.81x 1.35x 1.61x 1.41x 1.36x 1.21x 1.07x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.65x 4.47x 2.43x 3x 2.48x 3.46x 3.21x 2.84x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.83% 5.34% 4.56% 5.81% 5.61% 6.01% 5.99% 5.87%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24% 32.23% 26.25% 32.79% 30.98% 32.88% 32.53% 31.58%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 35.82% 79.4% 47.37% 61.12% 54.32% 83.81% 86.44% 84.31%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.56 16.45 13.5 14.33 20.97 16.39 17.54 18.75
Change - 21.38% -17.97% 6.16% 46.35% -21.84% 7.02% 6.89%
Dividend per Share 1 2.9 4 4.5 4.75 5 5.316 5.822 6.362
Change - 37.93% 12.5% 5.56% 5.26% 6.32% 9.51% 9.29%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.98 45.47 49.48 51.89 52.86 58.88 62.76 67.01
Change - 16.64% 8.82% 4.88% 1.86% 11.4% 6.6% 6.77%
EPS 1 4.51 7.47 8.18 8.43 8.65 9.085 10.04 10.75
Change - 65.63% 9.5% 3.06% 2.61% 5.02% 10.54% 7.05%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 567,846 563,597 570,844 563,091 556,784 554,143 554,143 554,143
Announcement Date 04/02/22 09/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.4x 12.1x
PBR 2.07x 1.94x
EV / Sales 1.13x 1.08x
Yield 4.36% 4.77%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
121.95EUR
Average target price
143.24EUR
Spread / Average Target
+17.46%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise