Projected Income Statement: Douglas Dynamics, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Douglas Dynamics, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 180 186 211 - - - - -
Change - 3.33% 13.44% - - - - -
Announcement Date 21/02/22 20/02/23 26/02/24 24/02/25 23/02/26 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Douglas Dynamics, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 11.21 12.05 10.52 7.81 11.13 15.7 15.9
Change - 7.49% -12.67% -25.77% 42.55% 41.02% 1.27%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 49.33 27.98 1.948 33.32 63.56 55.4 71.9
Change - -43.27% -93.04% 1,610.52% 90.74% -12.83% 29.78%
Announcement Date 21/02/22 20/02/23 26/02/24 24/02/25 23/02/26 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Douglas Dynamics, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.69% 14.09% 11.99% 13.96% 14.92% 15.09% 15.67% 16.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.87% 9.6% 7.9% 15.6% 11.22% 12.01% 12.78% 13.82%
EBT Margin (%) 6.39% 7.69% 5.15% 13% 9.38% 10.82% 11.74% -
Net margin (%) 5.67% 6.27% 4.18% 9.88% 7.15% 8.23% 8.86% -
FCF margin (%) 9.11% 4.54% 0.34% 5.86% 9.69% 7.19% 9% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 160.72% 72.48% 8.21% 59.34% 135.52% 87.38% 101.55% -

Profitability

        
ROA 6.84% - - - 7.71% - - -
ROE 18.99% 19.27% 10.4% 14.19% 17.19% 19.2% 19% -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.27x 2.14x 3.1x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 3.65x 6.64x 108.37x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.07% 1.96% 1.85% 1.37% 1.7% 2.04% 1.99% -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.09% 13.88% 15.44% 9.84% 11.37% 13.5% 12.7% -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.72% 43.05% 540.09% 23.44% 17.52% 28.34% 22.11% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 1.14 1.16 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 -
Change - 1.75% 1.72% 0% 0% 0% 0% -
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 1.29 1.63 0.98 2.36 1.96 2.647 2.93 -
Change - 26.36% -39.88% 140.82% -16.95% 35.03% 10.71% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 22,981 22,887 22,984 23,094 23,041 23,125 23,125 -
Announcement Date 21/02/22 20/02/23 26/02/24 24/02/25 23/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 17.7x 16x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 1.4x 1.36x
Yield 2.52% 2.52%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
46.81USD
Average target price
56.25USD
Spread / Average Target
+20.17%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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