Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 28,980 25,945 22,114
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 9.18% -10.47% -14.77%
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 7,905 8,027 7,933
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 11.49% 1.55% -1.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 10,675 12,047 13,146
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 27.55% 12.85% 9.12%
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.38% 18.09% 18.57%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 12.55% 13.25% 13.75%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 11.18% 12.23% 12.82%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 8.3% 9.02% 9.48%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 7.57% 8.23% 8.76%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 91.13% 91.15% 92.45%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.08% 7.39% 7.81%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 13.95% 14.19% 14.23%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.18x 0.98x 0.79x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.71x 2.15x 1.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.6% 5.48% 5.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 32.23% 30.29% 28.48%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 74.05% 66.63% 60.35%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 26.21 29.3 31.74
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 16.82% 11.79% 8.33%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 8.75 9.171 9.733 10.27
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% 6.06% 4.81% 6.14% 5.5%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 135.7 145.2 156.8
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 9.21% 6.99% 7.99%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 17.25 19.7 21.32
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -6.11% 14.22% 8.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 702,342 702,342 702,342 694,998 683,049 677,842 677,842 677,842
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.2x 13.3x
PBR 1.94x 1.81x
EV / Sales 1.47x 1.39x
Yield 3.49% 3.71%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
262.70SEK
Average target price
272.13SEK
Spread / Average Target
+3.59%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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