Projected Income Statement: NCC AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: NCC AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,932 3,000 4,310 1,164 1,165 608 -423 -2,192
Change - 2.32% 43.67% -72.99% 0.09% -47.81% -169.57% -418.2%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 10/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NCC AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 363 401 446 647 767 565.3 670.2 625.7
Change - 10.47% 11.22% 45.07% 18.55% -26.29% 18.56% -6.65%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,897 -136 361 3,991 1,151 2,104 1,478 1,352
Change - -107.17% 365.44% 1,005.54% -71.16% 82.8% -29.75% -8.49%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 10/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NCC AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.86% 4.78% 5.31% 5.36% 5.75% 5.69% 5.4% 5.87%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.42% 2.51% 3.17% 3.3% 3.48% 3.45% 3.53% 3.81%
EBT Margin (%) 3.3% 2.4% 3.17% 3.02% 1.13% 3.24% 3.4% 3.72%
Net margin (%) 2.82% 1.97% 2.76% 2.55% 0.25% 2.55% 2.73% 2.99%
FCF margin (%) 3.55% -0.25% 0.63% 6.48% 2.07% 3.82% 2.47% 2.18%
FCF / Net Income (%) 125.8% -12.72% 22.95% 254.04% 810.56% 150.12% 90.51% 72.99%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.2% 3.62% 5.11% 4.91% 4.34% 6.2% 7.4% 7.5%
ROE 30.72% 17% 21% 19.65% 16.39% 17.27% 18.18% 20.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.94x 1.16x 1.43x 0.35x 0.36x 0.19x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.55x -22.06x 11.94x 0.29x 1.01x 0.29x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.68% 0.74% 0.78% 1.05% 1.38% 1.03% 1.12% 1.01%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.59% 15.49% 14.76% 19.59% 23.93% 18.05% 20.74% 17.2%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.14% -294.85% 123.55% 16.21% 66.64% 26.87% 45.35% 46.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - 47.47 19.55 28 24.39 26
Change - - - - -58.82% 43.22% -12.9% 6.6%
Dividend per Share 1 6 6 8 9 - 10.62 10.76 12.17
Change - 0% 33.33% 12.5% - - 1.27% 13.08%
Book Value Per Share 1 54.26 73.6 74.96 88.58 80.95 82.97 95.54 96.9
Change - 35.63% 1.86% 18.16% -8.61% 2.49% 15.15% 1.42%
EPS 1 14.02 10.29 16.11 16.08 1.45 14.32 16.7 18.91
Change - -26.6% 56.56% -0.19% -90.98% 887.65% 16.6% 13.25%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 107,595 97,592 97,662 97,792 97,792 97,792 97,792 97,792
Announcement Date 02/02/22 31/01/23 30/01/24 10/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12x 10.3x
PBR 2.06x 1.79x
EV / Sales 0.32x 0.27x
Yield 6.2% 6.28%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
171.30SEK
Average target price
202.50SEK
Spread / Average Target
+18.21%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise