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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 3.520 EUR | -2.22% |
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+0.57% | -23.81% |
| 08-07 | Roku beats quarterly revenue estimates on advertising, subscriptions strength | RE |
| 08-06 | Warner Bros. Posts Surprise Quarterly Profit Amid Streaming Gains; Paramount Deal Gets UK Clearance | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Netflix, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 29,698 | 31,616 | 33,723 | 39,001 | 45,183 | 51,219 | 57,004 | 62,799 |
| Change | - | 6.46% | 6.67% | 15.65% | 15.85% | 13.36% | 11.29% | 10.17% |
| EBITDA 1 | 6,806 | 6,545 | 7,650 | 11,019 | 14,028 | 17,047 | 20,082 | 23,324 |
| Change | - | -3.84% | 16.89% | 44.03% | 27.31% | 21.52% | 17.81% | 16.14% |
| EBIT 1 | 6,195 | 5,633 | 6,954 | 10,418 | 13,327 | 16,128 | 19,126 | 22,222 |
| Change | - | -9.07% | 23.45% | 49.81% | 27.92% | 21.02% | 18.59% | 16.19% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -765.6 | -706.2 | -699.8 | -718.7 | -776.5 | -818.3 | -731.9 | -711 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 5,840 | 5,264 | 6,205 | 9,966 | 12,723 | 18,295 | 18,597 | 21,812 |
| Change | - | -9.87% | 17.89% | 60.6% | 27.66% | 43.8% | 1.65% | 17.29% |
| Net income 1 | 5,116 | 4,492 | 5,408 | 8,712 | 10,981 | 15,261 | 15,842 | 18,432 |
| Change | - | -12.2% | 20.39% | 61.09% | 26.05% | 38.98% | 3.81% | 16.34% |
| Announcement Date | 20/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 21/01/25 | 20/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Netflix, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 9,365 | 8,295 | 7,405 | 5,999 | 5,400 | 4,936 | 56.6 | -13,570 |
| Change | - | -11.43% | -10.73% | -18.99% | -9.98% | -8.6% | -98.85% | -24,075.27% |
| Announcement Date | 20/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 21/01/25 | 20/01/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Netflix, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 524.6 | 407.7 | 348.6 | 439.5 | 688.2 | 764.3 | 757.6 | 801.5 |
| Change | - | -22.28% | -14.51% | 26.1% | 56.58% | 11.06% | -0.87% | 5.79% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -158.9 | 1,619 | 6,926 | 6,922 | 9,461 | 12,877 | 14,204 | 16,642 |
| Change | - | 1,118.62% | 327.9% | -0.06% | 36.68% | 36.1% | 10.31% | 17.16% |
| Announcement Date | 20/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 21/01/25 | 20/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Netflix, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 22.92% | 20.7% | 22.69% | 28.25% | 31.05% | 33.28% | 35.23% | 37.14% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 20.86% | 17.82% | 20.62% | 26.71% | 29.49% | 31.49% | 33.55% | 35.39% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 19.67% | 16.65% | 18.4% | 25.55% | 28.16% | 35.72% | 32.62% | 34.73% |
| Net margin (%) | 17.23% | 14.21% | 16.04% | 22.34% | 24.3% | 29.8% | 27.79% | 29.35% |
| FCF margin (%) | -0.54% | 5.12% | 20.54% | 17.75% | 20.94% | 25.14% | 24.92% | 26.5% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -3.11% | 36.03% | 128.07% | 79.45% | 86.16% | 84.37% | 89.66% | 90.29% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 12.2% | 9.64% | 11.11% | 17.02% | 20.11% | 24.83% | 23.65% | 22.85% |
| ROE | 38.02% | 24.53% | 26.15% | 38.43% | 42.76% | 52.96% | 47.32% | 47.73% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.38x | 1.27x | 0.97x | 0.54x | 0.38x | 0.29x | 0x | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -58.94x | 5.12x | 1.07x | 0.87x | 0.57x | 0.38x | 0x | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.77% | 1.29% | 1.03% | 1.13% | 1.52% | 1.49% | 1.33% | 1.28% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 7.71% | 6.23% | 4.56% | 3.99% | 4.91% | 4.48% | 3.77% | 3.44% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -330.15% | 25.19% | 5.03% | 6.35% | 7.27% | 5.94% | 5.33% | 4.82% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.0862 | 0.449 | 1.618 | 1.676 | 2.388 | 3.177 | 3.609 | 4.574 |
| Change | - | 420.75% | 260.44% | 3.55% | 42.51% | 33.03% | 13.6% | 26.74% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 3.481 | 4.604 | 4.663 | 5.633 | 6.263 | 7.419 | 8.845 | 10.76 |
| Change | - | 32.28% | 1.27% | 20.81% | 11.19% | 18.45% | 19.22% | 21.7% |
| EPS 1 | 1.124 | 0.995 | 1.203 | 1.983 | 2.53 | 3.583 | 3.813 | 4.564 |
| Change | - | -11.48% | 20.9% | 64.84% | 27.58% | 41.6% | 6.43% | 19.69% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 4,429,522 | 4,450,205 | 4,376,797 | 4,274,581 | 4,237,323 | 4,163,940 | 4,163,940 | 4,163,940 |
| Announcement Date | 20/01/22 | 19/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 21/01/25 | 20/01/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 20.7x | 19.4x |
| PBR | 9.99x | 8.38x |
| EV / Sales | 6.12x | 5.42x |
| Yield | - | - |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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