Company Valuation: Novartis AG

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 196,458 194,448 207,167 195,514 266,003 296,432 - -
Change - -1.02% 6.54% -5.62% 36.05% 11.44% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 204,649 203,482 219,178 213,458 289,870 329,546 324,250 317,312
Change - -0.57% 7.71% -2.61% 35.8% 13.69% -1.61% -2.14%
P/E 8.2x 28.3x 14.1x 16.5x 19.2x 22.1x 18.9x 16.4x
PBR 2.9x 3.23x 4.41x 4.52x 5.73x 6.24x 5.82x 5.22x
PEG - -0.4x 0x -1x 0.9x -9.64x 1.1x 1.1x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.81x 3.85x 4.44x 3.78x 4.69x 5.15x 4.85x 4.56x
EV / Revenue 3.96x 4.03x 4.7x 4.13x 5.11x 5.72x 5.3x 4.88x
EV / EBITDA 11.2x 10.9x 12.2x 10.2x 12.4x 14.3x 12.9x 11.7x
EV / EBIT 12.3x 12.2x 13.4x 10.9x 13.2x 15.1x 13.7x 12.4x
EV / FCF 15.4x 17x 16.6x 13.1x 16.5x 22.7x 20.1x 16.8x
FCF Yield 6.49% 5.87% 6.01% 7.61% 6.07% 4.4% 4.98% 5.95%
Dividend per Share 2 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.856 - 4.367 4.555 4.738
Rate of return 3.83% 3.87% 3.79% 3.94% - 2.8% 2.92% 3.04%
EPS 2 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.92 7.21 7.045 8.252 9.485
Distribution rate 31.4% 110% 53.5% 65.1% - 62% 55.2% 50%
Net sales 1 51,626 50,545 46,660 51,722 56,674 57,584 61,123 64,991
EBITDA 1 18,246 18,613 17,937 21,006 23,415 23,083 25,093 27,161
EBIT 1 16,588 16,665 16,372 19,494 21,889 21,778 23,631 25,619
Net income 1 24,021 6,955 14,854 11,939 13,967 13,780 15,358 17,285
Net Debt 1 8,191 9,034 12,011 17,944 23,867 33,114 27,817 20,880
Reference price 2 87.82 90.40 100.79 97.79 138.63 155.96 155.96 155.96
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,237,092 2,150,980 2,055,460 1,999,270 1,918,792 1,900,715 - -
Announcement Date 02/02/22 01/02/23 31/01/24 31/01/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
33.6x12.29x24.81x0.58% 1,057B
28.84x - - 2.07% 625B
32.34x7.35x15.3x2.81% 435B
20.47x4.85x12.02x2.72% 363B
22.14x5.72x14.28x2.8% 296B
20.58x4.25x12.07x2.07% 249B
25.76x6.79x12.06x2.45% 222B
13.84x4.97x10.44x3.68% 209B
-41.38x5.93x33.46x2.47% 165B
Average 17.35x 6.52x 16.80x 2.41% 402.31B
Weighted average by Cap. 24.44x 8.09x 18.31x 1.98%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield