Projected Income Statement: Sagax

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 26,269 31,316 30,315 34,847 38,630 39,541 40,028 39,112
Change - 19.21% -3.2% 14.95% 10.86% 2.36% 1.23% -2.29%
Announcement Date 11/02/22 17/02/23 22/02/24 21/02/25 09/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 658 715 902 1,129 978 1,465 898 933.3
Change - 8.66% 26.15% 25.17% -13.37% 49.8% -38.7% 3.93%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,236 2,512 2,663 2,222 2,639 753.8 2,719 2,824
Change - 212.34% 6.01% -16.56% 18.77% -71.44% 260.71% 3.86%
Announcement Date 11/02/22 17/02/23 22/02/24 21/02/25 09/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 77.68% 76.68% 78.02% 79.08% 78.75% 85.22% 86% 86.75%
EBIT Margin (%) 164.71% 97.24% 99.72% 100.97% 99.26% 102.71% 102.32% 102.42%
EBT Margin (%) 337.59% 88.68% 3.68% 113.21% 83.02% 100.18% 95.94% 95.23%
Net margin (%) 314.02% 72.93% -0.3% 103.79% 74.94% 77.35% 72.79% 72.51%
FCF margin (%) -71.6% 67.4% 61.67% 43.89% 48.85% 13.68% 47.15% 47.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) -22.8% 92.42% -20,484.62% 42.28% 65.19% 17.68% 64.77% 65.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.98% 4.05% 5.14% 6.68% - - - -
ROE 37% 8.4% 10.68% 13.5% 9.6% 9.39% 8.29% 7.91%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.83x 10.96x 9x 8.7x 9.08x 8.42x 8.07x 7.55x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.75x 12.47x 11.38x 15.68x 14.64x 52.46x 14.72x 13.85x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.07% 19.18% 20.89% 22.3% 18.1% 26.58% 15.57% 15.63%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.12% 25.02% 26.77% 28.2% 22.99% 31.19% 18.11% 18.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -29.43% 28.46% 33.87% 50.81% 37.06% 194.35% 33.03% 33.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 10.69 10.72 11.03 -
Change - - - - - 0.29% 2.85% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 3.7 3.771 3.944 4.062
Change - - - - - 1.93% 4.58% 2.99%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 123.4 135.4 147.4
Change - - - - - - 9.67% 8.93%
EPS 1 - - - - - 14.39 15.82 16.17
Change - - - - - - 9.93% 2.23%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - - - 464,709 464,709 464,709 464,709
Announcement Date - - - - 09/02/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 11.1x 10.1x
PBR 1.29x 1.18x
EV / Sales 17.8x 17.1x
Yield 2.36% 2.47%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
159.50SEK
Average target price
198.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
+24.14%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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