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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 23.86 HKD | -0.17% |
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+6.04% | +13.73% |
| 07-27 | Macquarie Starts Swire Properties at Outperform with HK$31 Price Target | MT |
| 05-13 | Cathay Pacific Airways Chair To Retire; Successor Named | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Swire Properties Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 15,891 | 13,826 | 14,670 | 14,428 | 16,041 | 18,396 | 18,512 | 19,867 |
| Change | - | -12.99% | 6.1% | -1.65% | 11.18% | 14.68% | 0.63% | 7.32% |
| EBITDA 1 | 10,141 | 9,156 | 8,349 | 8,533 | 9,106 | 9,710 | 9,617 | 10,424 |
| Change | - | -9.71% | -8.81% | 2.2% | 6.72% | 6.63% | -0.95% | 8.39% |
| EBIT 1 | 9,786 | 8,223 | 7,912 | 8,097 | 8,598 | 9,108 | 8,959 | 10,330 |
| Change | - | -15.97% | -3.78% | 2.34% | 6.19% | 5.94% | -1.64% | 15.31% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -377 | -196 | -520 | -991 | -954 | -875.4 | -853 | -848.3 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 9,250 | 10,292 | 4,368 | 1,537 | -254 | 9,890 | 9,896 | 11,328 |
| Change | - | 11.26% | -57.56% | -64.81% | -116.53% | 3,993.67% | 0.07% | 14.46% |
| Net income 1 | 7,121 | 7,980 | 2,637 | -766 | -1,533 | 8,199 | 8,035 | 9,432 |
| Change | - | 12.06% | -66.95% | -129.05% | -100.13% | 634.86% | -2.01% | 17.39% |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 14/03/24 | 13/03/25 | 12/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Swire Properties Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 10,334 | 18,947 | 36,679 | 43,746 | 39,540 | 39,216 | 39,788 | 39,088 |
| Change | - | 83.35% | 93.59% | 19.27% | -9.61% | -0.82% | 1.46% | -1.76% |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 14/03/24 | 13/03/25 | 12/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Swire Properties Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 4,040 | 7,229 | 2,988 | 4,445 | 2,140 | 7,890 | 5,648 | 1,986 |
| Change | - | 78.94% | -58.67% | 48.76% | -51.86% | 268.71% | -28.41% | -64.85% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,005 | -2,473 | 2,457 | -683 | 5,331 | 4,801 | 5,870 | 8,616 |
| Change | - | -346.07% | 199.35% | -127.8% | 880.53% | -9.94% | 22.27% | 46.78% |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 14/03/24 | 13/03/25 | 12/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Swire Properties Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 63.82% | 66.22% | 56.91% | 59.14% | 56.77% | 52.78% | 51.95% | 52.47% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 61.58% | 59.47% | 53.93% | 56.12% | 53.6% | 49.51% | 48.39% | 52% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 58.21% | 74.44% | 29.78% | 10.65% | -1.58% | 53.76% | 53.46% | 57.02% |
| Net margin (%) | 44.81% | 57.72% | 17.98% | -5.31% | -9.56% | 44.57% | 43.4% | 47.48% |
| FCF margin (%) | 6.32% | -17.89% | 16.75% | -4.73% | 33.23% | 26.1% | 31.71% | 43.37% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 14.11% | -30.99% | 93.17% | 89.16% | -347.75% | 58.55% | 73.06% | 91.35% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 2.1% | 2.36% | 2.11% | 1.83% | 1.77% | 2.28% | 2.28% | 2.6% |
| ROE | 2.45% | 2.75% | 2.54% | 2.35% | 2.3% | 3.03% | 3.04% | 3.3% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.02x | 2.07x | 4.39x | 5.13x | 4.34x | 4.04x | 4.14x | 3.75x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 10.28x | -7.66x | 14.93x | -64.05x | 7.42x | 8.17x | 6.78x | 4.54x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 25.42% | 52.29% | 20.37% | 30.81% | 13.34% | 42.89% | 30.51% | 9.99% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 39.84% | 78.95% | 35.79% | 52.09% | 23.5% | 81.26% | 58.73% | 19.05% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 401.99% | -292.32% | 121.61% | -650.81% | 40.14% | 164.35% | 96.22% | 23.05% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.8624 | 0.813 | 0.9308 | 0.6436 | 1.295 | 1.593 | 1.604 | 1.357 |
| Change | - | -5.73% | 14.49% | -30.86% | 101.23% | 23.03% | 0.66% | -15.41% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.95 | 1 | 1.05 | 1.1 | 1.15 | 1.204 | 1.259 | 1.317 |
| Change | - | 5.26% | 5% | 4.76% | 4.55% | 4.7% | 4.54% | 4.6% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 49.94 | 49.44 | 48.73 | 47.1 | - | 46.83 | 46.91 | 47.04 |
| Change | - | -1% | -1.43% | -3.35% | - | - | 0.17% | 0.27% |
| EPS 1 | 1.22 | 1.36 | 0.45 | -0.13 | -0.27 | 1.456 | 1.478 | 1.607 |
| Change | - | 11.48% | -66.91% | -128.89% | -107.69% | 639.07% | 1.52% | 8.73% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 5,850,000 | 5,850,000 | 5,850,000 | 5,802,221 | 5,757,485 | 5,757,485 | 5,757,485 | 5,757,485 |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 14/03/24 | 13/03/25 | 12/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 16.4x | 16.1x |
| PBR | 0.51x | 0.51x |
| EV / Sales | 9.6x | 9.57x |
| Yield | 5.05% | 5.28% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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