Projected Income Statement: Swire Properties Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,334 18,947 36,679 43,746 39,540 39,448 40,320 39,453
Change - 83.35% 93.59% 19.27% -9.61% -0.23% 2.21% -2.15%
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 14/03/24 13/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,040 7,229 2,988 4,445 2,140 7,599 7,631 3,827
Change - 78.94% -58.67% 48.76% -51.86% 255.1% 0.42% -49.85%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,005 -2,473 2,457 -683 5,331 4,805 7,873 8,881
Change - -346.07% 199.35% -127.8% 880.53% -9.87% 63.86% 12.81%
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 14/03/24 13/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 63.82% 66.22% 56.91% 59.14% 56.77% 54.27% 51.47% 52.55%
EBIT Margin (%) 61.58% 59.47% 53.93% 56.12% 53.6% 50.87% 49.21% 52.13%
EBT Margin (%) 58.21% 74.44% 29.78% 10.65% -1.58% 54.47% 52.43% 56.6%
Net margin (%) 44.81% 57.72% 17.98% -5.31% -9.56% 44.6% 42.69% 47.32%
FCF margin (%) 6.32% -17.89% 16.75% -4.73% 33.23% 26.64% 41.97% 44.75%
FCF / Net Income (%) 14.11% -30.99% 93.17% 89.16% -347.75% 59.73% 98.32% 94.57%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.1% 2.36% 2.11% 1.83% 1.77% 2.28% 2.28% 2.59%
ROE 2.45% 2.75% 2.54% 2.35% 2.3% 3.06% 3.04% 3.29%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.02x 2.07x 4.39x 5.13x 4.34x 4.03x 4.18x 3.78x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.28x -7.66x 14.93x -64.05x 7.42x 8.21x 5.12x 4.44x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 25.42% 52.29% 20.37% 30.81% 13.34% 42.13% 40.68% 19.28%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.84% 78.95% 35.79% 52.09% 23.5% 77.64% 79.04% 36.69%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 401.99% -292.32% 121.61% -650.81% 40.14% 158.16% 96.93% 43.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.8624 0.813 0.9308 0.6436 1.295 1.465 1.532 1.564
Change - -5.73% 14.49% -30.86% 101.23% 13.12% 4.58% 2.07%
Dividend per Share 1 0.95 1 1.05 1.1 1.15 1.205 1.259 1.318
Change - 5.26% 5% 4.76% 4.55% 4.77% 4.54% 4.62%
Book Value Per Share 1 49.94 49.44 48.73 47.1 - 46.85 46.93 47.05
Change - -1% -1.43% -3.35% - - 0.17% 0.26%
EPS 1 1.22 1.36 0.45 -0.13 -0.27 1.431 1.476 1.6
Change - 11.48% -66.91% -128.89% -107.69% 630.12% 3.11% 8.41%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,850,000 5,850,000 5,850,000 5,802,221 5,757,485 5,757,485 5,757,485 5,757,485
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 14/03/24 13/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.1x 15.6x
PBR 0.49x 0.49x
EV / Sales 9.53x 9.21x
Yield 5.24% 5.48%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
23.00HKD
Average target price
29.00HKD
Spread / Average Target
+26.08%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 1972 Stock
  4. Financials Swire Properties Limited