Projected Income Statement: Takashimaya Company, Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Takashimaya Company, Limited

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 211,562 212,966 251,060 250,936 335,283 207,942 200,654 191,713
Change - 0.66% 17.89% -0.05% 33.61% -37.98% -3.5% -4.46%
Announcement Date 11/04/22 14/04/23 12/04/24 14/04/25 14/04/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Takashimaya Company, Limited

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 34,515 24,986 27,857 28,811 44,609 61,124 50,000 50,000
Change - -27.61% 11.49% 3.42% 54.83% 37.02% -18.2% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -16,076 25,790 21,035 32,799 9,228 13,447 20,700 17,167
Change - 260.43% -18.44% 55.93% -71.86% 45.72% 53.94% -17.07%
Announcement Date 11/04/22 14/04/23 12/04/24 14/04/25 14/04/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Takashimaya Company, Limited

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 4.7% 14.91% 17.26% 18.2% 17.81% 18.53% 18.85% 19.17%
EBIT Margin (%) 0.54% 7.33% 9.85% 11.54% 10.87% 11.52% 11.76% 12%
EBT Margin (%) 0.48% 7.87% 8.7% 11.49% -2.24% 11.41% 11.54% 11.85%
Net margin (%) 0.7% 6.28% 6.78% 7.93% -1.66% 7.9% 7.98% 8.22%
FCF margin (%) -2.11% 5.82% 4.51% 6.58% 1.87% 2.67% 4.02% 3.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) -299.93% 92.64% 66.52% 82.98% -112.62% 33.77% 50.33% 39.74%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.6% 2.97% 4.02% 3.08% 4.31% 3.87% 3.96% 4.02%
ROE 1.4% 6.9% 7.3% 8.53% -1.78% 8.6% 8.34% 8.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.91x 3.22x 3.12x 2.77x 3.82x 2.23x 2.07x 1.9x
Debt / Free cash flow -13.16x 8.26x 11.94x 7.65x 36.33x 15.46x 9.69x 11.17x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.53% 5.63% 5.98% 5.78% 9.06% 12.13% 9.7% 9.52%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 96.47% 37.8% 34.62% 31.76% 50.88% 65.47% 51.49% 49.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -214.7% 96.88% 132.43% 87.84% 483.41% 454.56% 241.55% 291.26%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 110.3 186.4 208.7 231.7 85.69 248.1 269.3 273.9
Change - 69% 11.94% 11.02% -63.02% 189.57% 8.51% 1.73%
Dividend per Share 1 12 13 18.5 24.5 34 40.25 43.25 45.75
Change - 8.33% 42.31% 32.43% 38.78% 18.38% 7.45% 5.78%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,195 1,310 1,439 1,559 1,535 1,632 1,730 1,832
Change - 9.62% 9.86% 8.33% -1.56% 6.34% 5.97% 5.9%
EPS 1 16.07 84.89 100.2 126.3 -27.44 135.9 140.4 147.4
Change - 428.25% 18.08% 26.03% -121.72% 595.29% 3.3% 4.99%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 333,466 315,464 315,463 303,372 293,014 293,014 293,014 293,014
Announcement Date 11/04/22 14/04/23 12/04/24 14/04/25 14/04/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 18.9x 18.3x
PBR 1.57x 1.49x
EV / Sales 1.91x 1.85x
Yield 1.57% 1.68%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
2,569.00JPY
Average target price
2,105.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
-18.06%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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