Projected Income Statement: Thaicom

Forecast Balance Sheet: Thaicom

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 937 -3,692 -1,543 -492 397 696 3,860 -
Change - -494.02% 58.21% 68.11% 180.69% 75.18% 454.6% -
Announcement Date 04/02/22 10/02/23 08/02/24 07/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Thaicom

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 72.24 61.29 1,472 2,319 2,292 3,009 3,433 482.5
Change - -15.16% 2,300.94% 57.6% -1.16% 31.26% 14.09% -85.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,152 1,941 -464.6 -1,217 -1,439 -1,683 -2,692 692
Change - 68.5% -123.93% -161.95% -18.24% -16.95% -59.92% 125.71%
Announcement Date 04/02/22 10/02/23 08/02/24 07/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Thaicom

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 36% 35.75% 34.23% 24.03% 32.72% 36.68% 39.07% 57.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.09% 15.71% 9.48% -0.87% 5.25% -10.8% 4.86% 20.7%
EBT Margin (%) 7.02% 6.42% 18.73% 4.78% 5.62% 0.14% 7.43% -
Net margin (%) 4.35% 1.36% 13.46% -0.95% 1.62% 3.47% 4.4% 9.21%
FCF margin (%) 34.89% 62.71% -17.69% -50.44% -58.17% -80.8% -92.11% 24.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) 802.15% 4,599.38% -131.38% 5,329.47% -3,597.61% -2,326.73% -2,091.84% 264.12%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.9% 0.28% 2.44% -0.16% 0.25% 2.6% 0.85% 2.2%
ROE 1.28% 0.39% 3.4% -0.23% 3.99% 4.4% 1.47% 2.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.79x - - - 0.49x 0.91x 3.38x -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.81x - - - -0.28x -0.41x -1.43x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.19% 1.98% 56.03% 96.12% 92.66% 144.46% 117.49% 16.95%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 6.08% 5.54% 163.68% 399.96% 283.21% 393.85% 300.74% 29.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 6.27% 3.16% -316.72% -190.56% -159.3% -178.79% -127.55% 69.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.117 1.827 0.9186 1.006 - - - -
Change - 63.57% -49.73% 9.46% - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.5 0.13 - - - 0.05 -
Change - - -74% - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 10.15 9.629 9.334 9.14 9.2 9.145 9.3 -
Change - -5.17% -3.06% -2.08% 0.66% -0.6% 1.69% -
EPS 1 0.13 0.04 0.32 -0.02 0.04 0.195 0.1167 0.235
Change - -69.23% 700% -106.25% 300% 387.5% -40.17% 101.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102
Announcement Date 04/02/22 10/02/23 08/02/24 07/02/25 10/02/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 57.9x 96.9x
PBR 1.24x 1.22x
EV / Sales 6.28x 5.56x
Yield - 0.44%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
11.30THB
Average target price
12.41THB
Spread / Average Target
+9.85%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise