Projected Income Statement: Adeka Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Adeka Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -28,780 -30,691 -29,765 -27,892 -51,573 -39,900 -44,100 -56,650
Change - -6.64% 3.02% 6.29% -84.9% 22.63% -10.53% -28.46%
Announcement Date 13/05/21 13/05/22 12/05/23 14/05/24 14/05/25 14/05/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Adeka Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 14,320 14,627 20,434 20,664 18,683 21,674 24,000 21,750
Change - 2.14% 39.7% 1.13% -9.59% 16.01% 20% -9.38%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 22,552 10,050 -2,267 18,885 27,552 18,938 17,004 26,176
Change - -55.44% -122.56% 933.04% 45.89% -31.26% -28.27% 53.94%
Announcement Date 13/05/21 13/05/22 12/05/23 14/05/24 14/05/25 14/05/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Adeka Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.47% 13.92% 11.99% 13.13% 14.39% 14.46% 14.91% 15.17%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.86% 9.62% 8.03% 8.86% 10.07% 9.99% 10.45% 10.85%
EBT Margin (%) 8.48% 10.2% 7.24% 8.93% 9.56% 10.29% 10.4% 10.77%
Net margin (%) 5.02% 6.54% 4.16% 5.75% 6.15% 6.69% 6.53% 6.92%
FCF margin (%) 6.89% 2.77% -0.56% 4.72% 6.77% 4.55% 3.8% 5.67%
FCF / Net Income (%) 137.35% 42.33% -13.51% 82.19% 110.12% 67.96% 58.11% 81.95%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.91% 7.84% 6.68% 6.86% 7.24% 7.75% 6.43% 6.87%
ROE 7.5% 9.9% 6.6% 8.4% 8.6% 9.1% 8.8% 9.62%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.38% 4.03% 5.07% 5.17% 4.59% 5.2% 5.36% 4.71%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 32.51% 28.94% 42.24% 39.37% 31.9% 32.93% 35.93% 31.05%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 63.5% 145.54% -901.37% 109.42% 67.81% 114.45% 141.14% 83.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 304.9 381.6 319 391.9 417.8 465.8 514 566.8
Change - 25.15% -16.4% 22.82% 6.63% 11.48% 11.55% 10.27%
Dividend per Share 1 48 70 70 90 100 112 123.8 130.3
Change - 45.83% 0% 28.57% 11.11% 12% 18.23% 5.32%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,208 2,427 2,544 2,792 2,916 3,203 3,310 3,482
Change - 9.88% 4.85% 9.73% 4.45% 9.83% 7.31% 5.2%
EPS 1 159 230.2 163.3 224.9 245.6 278 299.2 323.8
Change - 44.78% -29.06% 37.7% 9.2% 13.19% 15.39% 8.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 103,276 103,008 102,564 102,130 101,736 96,976 96,976 96,976
Announcement Date 13/05/21 13/05/22 12/05/23 14/05/24 14/05/25 14/05/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E Ratio 13x 13.2x
PBR 1.13x 1.2x
EV / Sales 0.85x 0.76x
Yield 3.1% 3.13%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
3,960.00JPY
Average target price
4,648.33JPY
Spread / Average Target
+17.38%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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