Projected Income Statement: ConocoPhillips

Forecast Balance Sheet: ConocoPhillips

Forecast Balance Sheet - ConocoPhillips
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 14,460 7,400 12,331 18,210 16,463 13,796 10,658 7,165
Change - -48.82% 66.64% 47.68% -9.59% -16.2% -22.75% -32.77%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5,324 10,159 11,248 12,118 12,553 12,162 12,013 11,890
Change - 90.82% 10.72% 7.73% 3.59% -3.12% -1.22% -1.03%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,401 18,155 8,717 8,006 7,243 14,486 13,503 13,145
Change - 74.55% -51.99% -8.16% -9.53% 100% -6.79% -2.65%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ConocoPhillips

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 44.88% 44.64% 43.92% 42.86% 41.31% 46.31% 46.33% 46.02%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.97% 35.51% 29.8% 26% 22.63% 29.67% 28.4% 27.27%
EBT Margin (%) 26.29% 34.36% 27.81% 24.01% 20.56% 29.01% 26.78% 26.9%
Net margin (%) 16.71% 22.74% 18.71% 16.23% 12.98% 18.77% 17.74% 17%
FCF margin (%) 21.51% 22.1% 14.88% 14.06% 11.77% 19.69% 19.44% 19.56%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.74% 97.19% 79.56% 86.6% 90.67% 104.9% 109.57% 115.03%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.44% 18.8% 11.55% 8.45% 6.53% 10.33% 8.66% 7.05%
ROE 21.26% 37.13% 21.82% 16.21% 12.36% 20.6% 16.98% 14.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.67x 0.2x 0.48x 0.75x 0.65x 0.4x 0.33x 0.23x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.39x 0.41x 1.41x 2.27x 2.27x 0.95x 0.79x 0.55x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.01% 12.37% 19.2% 21.28% 20.4% 16.53% 17.3% 17.69%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.54% 27.7% 43.72% 49.65% 49.37% 35.7% 37.33% 38.43%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 51.19% 55.96% 129.04% 151.36% 173.31% 83.95% 88.96% 90.45%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.8 22.15 17.24 16.9 15.79 22.21 22.77 23.36
Change - 73.11% -22.19% -1.96% -6.54% 40.62% 2.55% 2.56%
Dividend per Share 1 1.75 1.89 2.11 2.52 3.18 3.38 3.547 3.678
Change - 8% 11.64% 19.43% 26.19% 6.29% 4.94% 3.68%
Book Value Per Share 1 34.87 39.22 41.83 50.79 51.45 56.43 60.63 64.26
Change - 12.49% 6.64% 21.41% 1.3% 9.68% 7.45% 5.98%
EPS 1 6.07 14.57 9.46 7.81 6.35 11.47 10.46 10.23
Change - 140.03% -35.07% -17.44% -18.69% 80.58% -8.78% -2.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,318,947 1,246,071 1,187,408 1,293,562 1,235,718 1,201,337 1,201,337 1,201,337
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.9x 14.1x
PBR 2.62x 2.44x
EV / Sales 2.6x 2.71x
Yield 2.28% 2.4%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - ConocoPhillips


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - ConocoPhillips
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - ConocoPhillips
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - ConocoPhillips
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
147.96USD
Average target price
151.48USD
Spread / Average Target
+2.38%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - ConocoPhillips
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