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End-of-day quote
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|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 28.75 THB | 0.00% |
|
0.00% | +68.13% |
| 07-10 | DBS Bank Upgrades SCG Packaging to Buy From Hold; Price Target is THB34 | MT |
| 07-08 | Bualuang Securities Downgrades SCG Packaging to Sell From Buy; Price Target is THB25 | MT |
Company Valuation: SCG Packaging
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 297,285 | 244,696 | 154,545 | 84,141 | 73,409 | 123,424 | - | - |
| Change | - | -17.69% | -36.84% | -45.56% | -12.76% | 68.13% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 328,341 | 282,521 | 180,979 | 135,476 | 126,316 | 170,739 | 168,169 | 163,759 |
| Change | - | -13.96% | -35.94% | -25.14% | -6.76% | 35.17% | -1.51% | -2.62% |
| P/E | 35.9x | 42.2x | 29.5x | 22.8x | 18x | 21.1x | 19.4x | 17.5x |
| PBR | 3.07x | 2.52x | 2x | 1.1x | 0.81x | 1.54x | 1.48x | 1.44x |
| PEG | - | -1.4x | -3.06x | -0.8x | 1.7x | 0.5x | 2.24x | 1.5x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 2.39x | 1.68x | 1.19x | 0.63x | 0.59x | 0.94x | 0.91x | 0.88x |
| EV / Revenue | 2.64x | 1.93x | 1.4x | 1.02x | 1.02x | 1.3x | 1.24x | 1.16x |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.5x | 14.6x | 10.9x | 8.95x | 7.25x | 9.07x | 8.59x | 8.01x |
| EV / EBIT | 25.6x | 29.1x | 24.3x | 23.1x | 20.6x | 18.1x | 16.8x | 15.2x |
| EV / FCF | -26.4x | 80.4x | 13.8x | 16.3x | 11.9x | 21x | 18.7x | 15.8x |
| FCF Yield | -3.79% | 1.24% | 7.25% | 6.15% | 8.4% | 4.75% | 5.35% | 6.34% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.65 | 0.6 | 0.55 | 0.55 | - | 0.6541 | 0.6983 | 0.7068 |
| Rate of return | 0.94% | 1.05% | 1.53% | 2.81% | - | 2.28% | 2.43% | 2.46% |
| EPS 2 | 1.93 | 1.35 | 1.22 | 0.86 | 0.95 | 1.361 | 1.479 | 1.646 |
| Distribution rate | 33.7% | 44.4% | 45.1% | 64% | - | 48.1% | 47.2% | 42.9% |
| Net sales 1 | 124,223 | 146,068 | 129,398 | 132,784 | 124,374 | 131,357 | 135,979 | 140,863 |
| EBITDA 1 | 21,150 | 19,402 | 16,646 | 15,132 | 17,424 | 18,817 | 19,585 | 20,443 |
| EBIT 1 | 12,835 | 9,703 | 7,440 | 5,873 | 6,123 | 9,449 | 9,997 | 10,792 |
| Net income 1 | 8,294 | 5,801 | 5,248 | 3,699 | 4,069 | 5,859 | 6,360 | 7,097 |
| Net Debt 1 | 31,056 | 37,825 | 26,434 | 51,334 | 52,907 | 47,315 | 44,745 | 40,336 |
| Reference price 2 | 69.25 | 57.00 | 36.00 | 19.60 | 17.10 | 28.75 | 28.75 | 28.75 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 4,292,920 | 4,292,920 | 4,292,920 | 4,292,920 | 4,292,920 | 4,293,000 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 25/01/22 | 24/01/23 | 23/01/24 | 28/01/25 | 27/01/26 | - | - | - |
1THB in Million2THB
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (N) | EV / Sales (N) | EV / EBITDA (N) | Dividend Yield (N) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.02x | 1.11x | 7x | 4.25% | 22.6B | ||
| 22.81x | 2.32x | 11.12x | 2.31% | 20B | ||
| 27.87x | 1.14x | 8.72x | 4.89% | 19.59B | ||
| 21.24x | 2.31x | 9.56x | 1.87% | 6.3B | ||
| 13.43x | 1.22x | 7.07x | 4% | 5.3B | ||
| 19x | 2.29x | 13.4x | 3.6% | 5.13B | ||
| 7.98x | 1.32x | 9.46x | 1.19% | 4.27B | ||
| 26.25x | 0.79x | 7.24x | 2.33% | 4.16B | ||
| 11.61x | 0.98x | 6.48x | 4.47% | 3.12B | ||
| Average | 18.91x | 1.50x | 8.90x | 3.21% | 10.05B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 21.40x | 1.53x | 8.94x | 3.52% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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