Projected Income Statement: Amgen Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Amgen Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 25,272 29,640 53,669 48,126 45,475 41,485 35,817 30,814
Change - 17.28% 81.07% -10.33% -5.51% -8.77% -13.66% -13.97%
Announcement Date 07/02/22 31/01/23 06/02/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Amgen Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 880 936 1,112 1,096 1,858 2,613 2,136 2,046
Change - 6.36% 18.8% -1.44% 69.53% 40.64% -18.27% -4.19%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,381 8,785 7,359 10,394 8,100 11,113 14,736 15,389
Change - 4.82% -16.23% 41.24% -22.07% 37.2% 32.6% 4.42%
Announcement Date 07/02/22 31/01/23 06/02/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Amgen Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 60.9% 61.46% 61.97% 61.69% 58.15% 56.15% 55.11% 53.59%
EBIT Margin (%) 47.82% 48.48% 47.53% 44.96% 44.09% 43.57% 43.88% 44.16%
EBT Margin (%) 25.79% 27.91% 27.86% 13.79% 24.42% 25.21% 26.71% 28.49%
Net margin (%) 22.68% 24.89% 23.83% 12.24% 20.98% 22.04% 23.3% 23.94%
FCF margin (%) 32.26% 33.37% 26.11% 31.1% 22.04% 28.54% 36.56% 36.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) 142.22% 134.08% 109.56% 254.13% 105.04% 129.52% 156.89% 154.34%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.79% 15.16% 12.37% 11.36% 12.98% 11.31% 11.8% 12.08%
ROE 121.63% 184.73% 202.85% 177.29% 162.88% 128.77% 106.23% 90.64%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.6x 1.83x 3.07x 2.33x 2.13x 1.9x 1.61x 1.38x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.02x 3.37x 7.29x 4.63x 5.61x 3.73x 2.43x 2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.39% 3.56% 3.94% 3.28% 5.06% 6.71% 5.3% 4.91%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 5.56% 5.79% 6.37% 5.32% 8.69% 11.95% 9.61% 9.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 10.5% 10.65% 15.11% 10.54% 22.94% 23.51% 14.49% 13.3%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 16.16 17.97 15.75 21.24 18.37 26.69 26.45 26.69
Change - 11.18% -12.37% 34.89% -13.49% 45.25% -0.87% 0.91%
Dividend per Share 1 7.04 7.76 8.52 9 9.52 10.09 10.66 11.12
Change - 10.23% 9.79% 5.63% 5.78% 5.96% 5.64% 4.36%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.01 6.856 11.65 10.94 16.06 20.93 25.65 31.81
Change - -42.9% 69.91% -6.05% 46.77% 30.3% 22.55% 24%
EPS 1 10.28 12.11 12.49 7.56 14.23 15.83 17.67 18.41
Change - 17.8% 3.14% -39.47% 88.23% 11.27% 11.63% 4.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 563,266 533,579 535,178 537,533 538,481 540,632 540,632 540,632
Announcement Date 07/02/22 31/01/23 06/02/24 04/02/25 03/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 26.8x 24x
PBR 20.2x 16.5x
EV / Sales 6.95x 6.57x
Yield 2.38% 2.52%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
34
Last Close Price
421.51USD
Average target price
390.94USD
Spread / Average Target
-7.25%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise