Projected Income Statement: ASOS Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -200 153 320 297 185 76.1 39 -0.88
Change - 176.5% 109.15% -7.19% -37.71% -58.8% -48.75% -102.26%
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 157.1 182.9 177.9 133.5 85.9 92.79 95.28 96.69
Change - 16.42% -2.73% -24.96% -35.66% 8.03% 2.68% 1.47%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 58 -303.3 -161.5 94.5 14.1 3.778 36.09 44.66
Change - -622.93% 46.75% 158.51% -85.08% -73.2% 855.13% 23.76%
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.33% 3.56% 3.51% 2.76% 5.31% 7.03% 7.67% 7.98%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.28% 1.12% -0.82% -2.8% -1.3% -0.33% 0.87% 1.31%
EBT Margin (%) 4.53% -0.81% -8.36% -13.05% -11.36% -3.02% -2.59% -1.86%
Net margin (%) 3.28% -0.78% -6.29% -11.66% -12.04% -0.29% -1.96% -1.81%
FCF margin (%) 1.48% -7.7% -4.55% 3.25% 0.57% 0.17% 1.59% 1.92%
FCF / Net Income (%) 45.17% 984.74% 72.39% -27.9% -4.73% -58.43% -80.98% -105.84%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.76% 0.72% -1.88% -5.04% -4.86% -5.87% -1.69% -0.97%
ROE 15.22% 2.07% -5.62% -17.78% -26.14% -29.26% -11.92% -6.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.09x 2.57x 3.71x 1.4x 0.48x 0.22x -
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.5x -1.98x 3.14x 13.1x 20.15x 1.08x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.02% 4.65% 5.01% 4.59% 3.47% 4.12% 4.2% 4.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.25% 130.64% 142.89% 166.67% 65.27% 58.62% 54.77% 52.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 270.86% -60.3% -110.15% 141.27% 609.22% 2,455.91% 264.03% 216.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.025 -1.208 0.1566 1.915 1.334 1.073 1.061 1.188
Change - -159.63% 112.97% 1,122.61% -30.34% -19.54% -1.09% 11.95%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 10.38 10.18 8.276 4.375 1.78 1.974 1.999 2.393
Change - -1.95% -18.71% -47.14% -59.3% 10.86% 1.28% 19.7%
EPS 1 1.255 -0.309 -2.13 -2.844 -2.501 -0.4336 -0.3733 -0.2763
Change - -124.62% -589.32% -33.52% 12.06% 82.66% 13.91% 25.98%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 99,592 99,704 119,008 119,106 119,347 119,720 119,720 119,720
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -9.1x -10.6x
PBR 2x 1.97x
EV / Sales 0.24x 0.23x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
3.945GBP
Average target price
3.629GBP
Spread / Average Target
-8.01%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise