Projected Income Statement: ASOS Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -200 153 320 297 185 150 113 95
Change - 176.5% 109.15% -7.19% -37.71% -18.79% -24.67% -15.93%
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 157.1 182.9 177.9 133.5 85.9 92.79 95.28 96.56
Change - 16.42% -2.73% -24.96% -35.66% 8.03% 2.68% 1.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 58 -303.3 -161.5 94.5 14.1 3.534 23.61 33.21
Change - -622.93% 46.75% 158.51% -85.08% -74.94% 568.03% 40.68%
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.33% 3.56% 3.51% 2.76% 5.31% 7.03% 7.6% 7.96%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.28% 1.12% -0.82% -2.8% -1.3% -0.33% 0.62% 1.25%
EBT Margin (%) 4.53% -0.81% -8.36% -13.05% -11.36% -3.39% -2.6% -1.91%
Net margin (%) 3.28% -0.78% -6.29% -11.66% -12.04% -3% -2.12% -1.49%
FCF margin (%) 1.48% -7.7% -4.55% 3.25% 0.57% 0.16% 1.04% 1.43%
FCF / Net Income (%) 45.17% 984.74% 72.39% -27.9% -4.73% -5.24% -49.08% -95.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.76% 0.72% -1.88% -5.04% -4.86% -5.89% -1.73% -1.03%
ROE 15.22% 2.07% -5.62% -17.78% -26.14% -31.32% -7.25% 0.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.09x 2.57x 3.71x 1.4x 0.95x 0.66x 0.51x
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.5x -1.98x 3.14x 13.1x 42.33x 4.79x 2.86x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.02% 4.65% 5.01% 4.59% 3.47% 4.13% 4.2% 4.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.25% 130.64% 142.89% 166.67% 65.27% 58.65% 55.3% 52.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 270.86% -60.3% -110.15% 141.27% 609.22% 2,625.9% 403.63% 290.76%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.025 -1.208 0.1566 1.915 1.334 0.8206 1.035 1.178
Change - -159.63% 112.97% 1,122.61% -30.34% -38.47% 26.1% 13.86%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 10.38 10.18 8.276 4.375 1.78 1.798 1.844 2.017
Change - -1.95% -18.71% -47.14% -59.3% 0.97% 2.55% 9.41%
EPS 1 1.255 -0.309 -2.13 -2.844 -2.501 -0.599 -0.4172 -0.3193
Change - -124.62% -589.32% -33.52% 12.06% 76.05% 30.35% 23.46%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 99,592 99,704 119,008 119,106 119,347 119,720 119,720 119,720
Announcement Date 11/10/21 19/10/22 01/11/23 05/11/24 21/11/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -4.57x -6.57x
PBR 1.52x 1.49x
EV / Sales 0.21x 0.19x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
2.740GBP
Average target price
3.314GBP
Spread / Average Target
+20.94%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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