Projected Income Statement: Gamuda

Forecast Balance Sheet: Gamuda

Forecast Balance Sheet - Gamuda
Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,690 1,198 2,746 4,445 6,422 9,395 9,265 9,057
Change - -29.11% 129.22% 61.87% 44.48% 46.29% 21.25% -2.25%
Announcement Date 29/09/21 29/09/22 27/09/23 26/09/24 19/09/25 29/09/26 - -
1MYR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Gamuda

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 233.2 523 700.6 304.4 260.7 253.3 593.1 546.8
Change - 124.27% 33.96% -56.55% -14.37% -2.84% -39% -7.81%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 824.2 -78.78 -1,290 -153.5 -95.29 554.3 1,842 2,488
Change - -109.56% -1,536.81% 88.1% 37.92% 681.75% 357.82% 35.1%
Announcement Date 29/09/21 29/09/22 27/09/23 26/09/24 19/09/25 29/09/26 - -
1MYR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Gamuda

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.07% 18.94% 12.95% 8.3% 9.62% 10.07% 9.28% 9.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.66% 14.28% 11.52% 7.08% 8.37% 8.97% 8.29% 8.45%
EBT Margin (%) 22.35% 19.67% 27.03% 8.22% 8.16% 7.98% 8.04% 8.44%
Net margin (%) 16.73% 15.62% 22.2% 6.83% 6.28% 5.74% 5.98% 6.33%
FCF margin (%) 23.43% -1.53% -15.57% -1.15% -0.6% 3.02% 7.88% 8.7%
FCF / Net Income (%) 140.09% -9.77% -70.15% -16.83% -9.5% 52.68% 131.94% 137.48%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.18% 4.17% 3.69% 3.62% 3.47% 3.13% 3.84% 4.61%
ROE 6.65% 8.46% 7.86% 8.23% 8.59% 8.48% 10.56% 12.63%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.08x 1.22x 2.56x 4.01x 4.18x 5.09x 4.28x 3.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.05x -15.21x -2.13x -28.96x -67.39x 16.95x 5.03x 3.64x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.63% 10.13% 8.46% 2.28% 1.63% 1.38% 2.54% 1.91%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.75% 53.48% 65.31% 27.48% 16.97% 13.72% 27.37% 20.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.3% -663.85% -54.33% -198.33% -273.56% 45.69% 32.21% 21.98%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2103 0.0874 -0.1088 0.0266 0.0283 0.1345 -0.2149 0.2216
Change - -58.47% -224.61% 124.39% 6.59% 375.27% -218.79% 203.13%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.06 0.25 0.08 0.2 0.1 0.1044 0.1239
Change - - 316.67% -68% 150% -50% 10.01% 18.62%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.825 1.94 2.03 2.05 2.07 2.15 2.261 2.455
Change - 6.3% 4.64% 0.99% 0.98% 3.86% 5.32% 8.59%
EPS 1 0.117 0.1586 0.3398 0.1606 0.1715 0.1752 0.2317 0.2993
Change - 35.45% 114.32% -52.75% 6.82% 2.16% 29.77% 29.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,027,057 5,107,862 5,325,472 5,550,607 5,790,500 5,973,456 5,973,456 5,973,456
Announcement Date 29/09/21 29/09/22 27/09/23 26/09/24 19/09/25 29/09/26 - -
1MYR
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E 24.4x 21.9x
PBR 1.99x 2.25x
EV / Sales 1.9x 1.7x
Yield 2.34% 2.06%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Gamuda


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Gamuda
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Gamuda
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Ratings Surperformance© - Gamuda
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
5.080MYR
Average target price
5.761MYR
Spread / Average Target
+13.41%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - EPS - Annual - Gamuda