Projected Income Statement: Loomis AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Loomis AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,007 7,484 9,853 10,645 10,699 13,812 12,339 10,704
Change - 6.81% 31.65% 8.04% 0.51% 29.1% -10.66% -13.25%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 31/01/24 05/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Loomis AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,156 1,426 1,957 1,665 1,406 1,552 1,794 1,757
Change - 23.36% 37.24% -14.92% -15.56% 10.38% 15.59% -2.06%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,602 2,219 3,120 4,084 3,203 3,802 4,520 4,777
Change - 38.51% 40.6% 30.9% -21.57% 18.7% 18.88% 5.69%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 31/01/24 05/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Loomis AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.58% 19.68% 20.02% 21.63% 22.29% 23.42% 23.96% 24.05%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.3% 10.09% 10.06% 11.3% 11.82% 13.15% 13.68% 13.95%
EBT Margin (%) 7.83% 8.58% 7.48% 7.46% 7.83% 11.02% 11.67% 12.18%
Net margin (%) 5.6% 6.33% 5.21% 5.39% 5.2% 7.72% 8.17% 8.52%
FCF margin (%) 8.12% 8.77% 10.87% 13.42% 10.53% 11.88% 13.1% 13.43%
FCF / Net Income (%) 145.11% 138.51% 208.7% 248.87% 202.47% 153.83% 160.34% 157.5%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.5% 5.65% 4.74% 5.03% - - - -
ROE 11% 12.9% 11.6% 12.6% 12.5% 21.4% 22.25% 21.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.81x 1.5x 1.71x 1.62x 1.58x 1.84x 1.49x 1.25x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.37x 3.37x 3.16x 2.61x 3.34x 3.63x 2.73x 2.24x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.86% 5.63% 6.82% 5.47% 4.62% 4.85% 5.2% 4.94%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.93% 28.62% 34.06% 25.29% 20.73% 20.71% 21.7% 20.53%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 72.16% 64.26% 62.72% 40.77% 43.9% 40.82% 39.69% 36.78%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 37.37 49.86 - 80.63 67.58 80.7 96.4 98.4
Change - 33.43% - - -16.19% 19.41% 19.45% 2.07%
Dividend per Share 1 6 8.5 12 12.5 14 16.56 18.45 19.87
Change - 41.67% 41.18% 4.17% 12% 18.32% 11.38% 7.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 135.4 173 177.7 199 179.3 195.1 217.1 240.2
Change - 27.8% 2.73% 12% -9.9% 8.77% 11.3% 10.66%
EPS 1 14.73 21.92 20.96 23.45 23.21 36.76 42.42 46.22
Change - 48.81% -4.38% 11.88% -1.02% 58.4% 15.4% 8.93%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 74,208 72,318 71,071 68,485 66,922 66,922 66,922 66,922
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 31/01/24 05/02/25 04/02/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.1x 13.1x
PBR 2.85x 2.56x
EV / Sales 1.59x 1.44x
Yield 2.98% 3.32%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
556.00SEK
Average target price
555.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
-0.18%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise