Projected Income Statement: Metcash Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Metcash Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet - Metcash Limited
Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 189 1,399 1,314 1,806 1,834 1,877 1,898 1,879
Change - 640.21% -6.08% 37.44% 1.55% 2.36% 1.12% -1%
Announcement Date 26/06/22 25/06/23 23/06/24 22/06/25 21/06/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Metcash Limited

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 121.7 372.7 135.9 148.5 175.2 153.6 151.5 155.2
Change - 206.24% -63.54% 9.27% 17.98% -12.35% -1.34% 2.43%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 310.6 220.6 346.7 390.5 382.8 369.6 436.7 470.3
Change - -28.98% 57.16% 12.63% -1.97% -3.46% 18.16% 7.71%
Announcement Date 26/06/22 25/06/23 23/06/24 22/06/25 21/06/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Metcash Limited

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 4.27% 4.28% 4.33% 4.32% 4.39% 4.41% 4.56% 4.66%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.11% 3.17% 3.12% 2.93% 2.9% 2.8% 2.92% 3.02%
EBT Margin (%) 2.36% 2.38% 2.34% 2.23% 2.22% 2.08% 2.16% 2.24%
Net margin (%) 1.62% 1.64% 1.62% 1.64% 1.61% 1.42% 1.5% 1.58%
FCF margin (%) 2.05% 1.4% 2.18% 2.25% 2.21% 2.08% 2.4% 2.52%
FCF / Net Income (%) 126.57% 85.17% 134.8% 137.84% 137.16% 146.05% 159.41% 159.66%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.96% 5.81% 4.7% 4.47% 4.02% 3.95% 4.22% 4.38%
ROE 25.39% 28.56% 19.68% 17.53% 16.13% 14.69% 15.36% 15.72%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.29x 2.07x 1.91x 2.42x 2.41x 2.39x 2.29x 2.16x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.61x 6.34x 3.79x 4.62x 4.79x 5.08x 4.35x 4x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.8% 2.36% 0.85% 0.86% 1.01% 0.86% 0.83% 0.83%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.78% 55.15% 19.74% 19.86% 23% 19.56% 18.25% 17.86%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 39.18% 168.95% 39.2% 38.03% 45.77% 41.55% 34.7% 33%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4383 0.3847 0.4827 0.4918 0.5077 0.4513 0.4906 0.522
Change - -12.23% 25.48% 1.88% 3.23% -11.1% 8.69% 6.4%
Dividend per Share 1 0.215 0.225 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.1699 0.1822 0.194
Change - 4.65% -2.22% -18.18% 0% -5.59% 7.24% 6.43%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.118 1.112 1.4 1.48 1.552 1.615 1.686 1.767
Change - -0.58% 25.92% 5.7% 4.87% 4.05% 4.37% 4.83%
EPS 1 0.25 0.268 0.257 0.259 0.253 0.2299 0.2471 0.2688
Change - 7.2% -4.1% 0.78% -2.32% -9.13% 7.49% 8.75%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 965,542 965,542 1,091,554 1,098,582 1,099,726 1,099,726 1,099,726 1,099,726
Announcement Date 26/06/22 25/06/23 23/06/24 22/06/25 21/06/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 14x 13x
PBR 1.99x 1.91x
EV / Sales 0.3x 0.3x
Yield 5.28% 5.66%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Metcash Limited


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Metcash Limited
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Metcash Limited
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Metcash Limited
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
3.190AUD
Average target price
3.377AUD
Spread / Average Target
+5.85%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Metcash Limited