Projected Income Statement: NHPC Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: NHPC Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 241,217 268,302 288,703 366,832 484,829 635,218 731,737 774,752
Change - 11.23% 7.6% 27.06% 32.17% 31.02% 15.19% 5.88%
Announcement Date 25/05/22 29/05/23 17/05/24 20/05/25 15/05/26 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NHPC Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 50,145 49,602 69,971 88,514 115,674 154,047 137,560 109,215
Change - -1.08% 41.07% 26.5% 30.68% 33.17% -10.7% -20.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 14,573 -2,679 -596.4 -38,252 -82,738 -47,194 -4,700 9,230
Change - -118.39% 77.74% -6,313.85% -116.29% 42.96% 90.04% 296.38%
Announcement Date 25/05/22 29/05/23 17/05/24 20/05/25 15/05/26 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NHPC Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.45% 59.09% 47.38% 53.18% 45.08% 54.64% 57.6% 65.99%
EBIT Margin (%) 43.5% 47.64% 35.85% 41.69% 28.07% 38.6% 43.65% 54.25%
EBT Margin (%) 48.18% 49.51% 48.25% 43.23% 25.06% 31.65% 33.16% 40.42%
Net margin (%) 38.35% 36.67% 37.63% 28.97% 32.42% 24.79% 25.53% 30.98%
FCF margin (%) 15.86% -2.53% -0.62% -36.85% -71.23% -26.37% -2.11% 3.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) 41.36% -6.89% -1.65% -127.22% -219.71% -106.37% -8.28% 12.52%

Profitability

        
ROA - 4.76% 4.43% 3.08% 3.38% 4.8% 6.9% 7.7%
ROE 10.37% 10.83% 9.58% 7.68% 9.29% 9.87% 12.07% 14.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.65x 4.28x 6.33x 6.65x 9.26x 6.49x 5.71x 4.93x
Debt / Free cash flow 16.55x -100.14x -484.08x -9.59x -5.86x -13.46x -155.68x 83.93x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 54.57% 46.76% 72.64% 85.27% 99.59% 86.06% 61.85% 45.9%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 96.67% 79.13% 153.31% 160.35% 220.92% 157.5% 107.38% 69.55%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 344.09% -1,851.29% -11,732.29% -231.4% -139.81% -326.41% -2,926.65% 1,183.2%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 4.668 6.91 5.004 3.28 7.625 9.885 12.6
Change - - 48.02% -27.59% -34.45% 132.48% 29.64% 27.52%
Dividend per Share 1 1.81 1.85 1.9 1.91 1.61 1.921 2.376 2.924
Change - 2.21% 2.7% 0.53% -15.71% 19.32% 23.68% 23.08%
Book Value Per Share 1 34.76 36.73 38.55 39.49 41.25 45.23 48.66 51.03
Change - 5.67% 4.94% 2.44% 4.46% 9.64% 7.58% 4.87%
EPS 1 3.51 3.87 3.61 2.72 3.75 4.316 5.528 7.137
Change - 10.26% -6.72% -24.65% 37.87% 15.1% 28.06% 29.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035
Announcement Date 25/05/22 29/05/23 17/05/24 20/05/25 15/05/26 - - -
1INR
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 17.6x 13.7x
PBR 1.68x 1.56x
EV / Sales 7.81x 6.72x
Yield 2.53% 3.13%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
75.90INR
Average target price
86.00INR
Spread / Average Target
+13.31%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials NHPC Limited
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