Projected Income Statement: Orkla ASA

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orkla ASA

Forecast Balance Sheet - Orkla ASA
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 13,207 17,600 19,783 16,893 14,698 17,839 17,795 17,070
Change - 33.26% 12.4% -14.61% -12.99% 21.37% -0.25% -4.07%
Announcement Date 10/02/22 14/02/23 08/02/24 13/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orkla ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,606 2,777 2,921 1,981 2,444 2,464 2,649 2,815
Change - 6.56% 5.19% -32.18% 23.37% 0.83% 7.48% 6.27%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,747 2,453 4,328 7,669 6,827 6,544 5,871 7,178
Change - -34.53% 76.44% 77.2% -10.98% -4.14% -10.29% 22.26%
Announcement Date 10/02/22 14/02/23 08/02/24 13/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orkla ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.32% 16.56% 14.13% 15.21% 13.72% 14.18% 14.34% 14.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.36% 11.81% 9.2% 10.4% 9.9% 10.41% 10.65% 10.83%
EBT Margin (%) 12.62% 12.58% 10.27% 11.5% 11.71% 11.97% 12.21% 12.44%
Net margin (%) 9.53% 8.6% 7.66% 8.57% 16.04% 9.07% 9.04% 9.23%
FCF margin (%) 7.43% 4.2% 6.38% 10.85% 9.54% 9.31% 8.16% 9.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) 77.93% 48.87% 83.29% 126.61% 59.5% 102.58% 90.22% 104.46%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.72% 7.2% 6.9% 6.86% - - - -
ROE 13.63% 13.59% 13.27% 12.98% 23.73% 13.74% 14.77% 14.85%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.6x 1.82x 2.07x 1.57x 1.5x 1.79x 1.72x 1.59x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.52x 7.17x 4.57x 2.2x 2.15x 2.73x 3.03x 2.38x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.17% 4.76% 4.31% 2.8% 3.42% 3.5% 3.68% 3.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.66% 28.72% 30.5% 18.44% 24.89% 24.72% 25.66% 26.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.55% 113.21% 67.49% 25.83% 35.8% 37.66% 45.11% 39.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 9.278 8.281 8.353 9.019
Change - - - - - -10.75% 0.86% 7.98%
Dividend per Share 1 3 3 3 4 6 4.987 4.63 5.052
Change - 0% 0% 33.33% 50% -16.88% -7.16% 9.12%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.55 41.82 45.37 48.1 48.83 46.38 48.39 52.13
Change - 8.47% 8.5% 6.01% 1.51% -5.02% 4.34% 7.73%
EPS 1 4.82 5.04 5.21 6.06 11.48 6.544 6.879 7.309
Change - 4.56% 3.37% 16.31% 89.44% -42.99% 5.11% 6.25%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 995,929 997,144 997,605 999,118 989,802 961,731 961,731 961,731
Announcement Date 10/02/22 14/02/23 08/02/24 13/02/25 12/02/26 - - -
1NOK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.6x 13.9x
PBR 2.06x 1.98x
EV / Sales 1.56x 1.53x
Yield 5.22% 4.84%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Orkla ASA


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Orkla ASA
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Orkla ASA
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
MarketScreener Ratings - Orkla ASA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
95.60NOK
Average target price
107.62NOK
Spread / Average Target
+12.58%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Orkla ASA