Company Valuation: Packaging Corporation of America

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 12,842 11,752 14,491 20,075 18,431 22,386 - -
Change - -8.49% 23.31% 38.53% -8.19% 21.46% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 14,869 14,139 16,230 21,769 21,798 25,715 25,425 25,191
Change - -4.91% 14.79% 34.12% 0.13% 17.97% -1.13% -0.92%
P/E 15.4x 11.6x 19.2x 25.2x 24x 25.5x 18.5x 17.3x
PBR 3.53x 3.23x 3.65x 4.58x 4x 4.56x 4.06x 3.61x
PEG - 0.5x -0.8x 4.75x -6.12x 1.6x 0.5x 2.56x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.66x 1.39x 1.86x 2.39x 2.05x 2.22x 2.08x 2.02x
EV / Revenue 1.92x 1.67x 2.08x 2.6x 2.42x 2.55x 2.36x 2.27x
EV / EBITDA 8.93x 7.5x 10.1x 13.3x 11.7x 12.3x 10.4x 9.98x
EV / EBIT 11.9x 9.86x 14.7x 19.5x 17.3x 18.6x 14.9x 13.9x
EV / FCF 30.4x 21.1x 19.2x 41.7x 29.9x 33.5x 22.9x 17.3x
FCF Yield 3.29% 4.74% 5.21% 2.4% 3.34% 2.98% 4.37% 5.78%
Dividend per Share 2 4 4.75 5 5 5 5.362 5.521 5.458
Rate of return 2.94% 3.71% 3.07% 2.22% 2.42% 2.12% 2.18% 2.16%
EPS 2 8.83 11.03 8.48 8.93 8.58 9.929 13.69 14.62
Distribution rate 45.3% 43.1% 59% 56% 58.3% 54% 40.3% 37.3%
Net sales 1 7,730 8,478 7,802 8,383 8,989 10,080 10,765 11,107
EBITDA 1 1,665 1,886 1,604 1,637 1,862 2,099 2,440 2,524
EBIT 1 1,253 1,434 1,101 1,114 1,258 1,384 1,709 1,808
Net income 1 841.1 1,030 759 799.5 768.9 884.8 1,211 1,277
Net Debt 1 2,028 2,388 1,739 1,694 3,366 3,328 3,039 2,805
Reference price 2 136.15 127.91 162.91 225.13 206.23 252.79 252.79 252.79
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 94,319 91,873 88,953 89,169 89,371 88,557 - -
Announcement Date 26/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
25.8x1.21x7.78x3.73% 25.87B
25.46x2.55x12.25x2.12% 22.39B
33.1x1.25x9.54x4.33% 21.97B
20.26x2.3x9.38x1.87% 6.44B
15.04x1.28x7.39x3.61% 5.88B
-178.72x0.88x8.1x2.1% 5.15B
17.85x2.19x12.98x3.81% 4.89B
7.38x1.3x9.27x1.5% 4.11B
15.02x1.12x7.49x3.7% 3.88B
Average -2.09x 1.56x 9.35x 2.97% 11.18B
Weighted average by Cap. 14.30x 1.62x 9.56x 3.2%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  5. Valuation Packaging Corporation of America