Projected Income Statement: Rexel

Forecast Balance Sheet: Rexel

Forecast Balance Sheet - Rexel
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,718 1,458 1,962 2,484 2,631 3,776 3,715 3,327
Change - -46.36% 34.57% 26.61% 5.92% 43.5% -1.62% -10.44%
Announcement Date 11/02/22 16/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Rexel

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 103.2 125.4 153.3 125.8 136.2 159 179.5 189.8
Change - 21.51% 22.25% -17.94% 8.27% 16.74% 12.91% 5.71%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 425.5 502.6 567.7 506 406.1 540.3 715.7 819.8
Change - 18.12% 12.95% -10.87% -19.74% 33.05% 32.46% 14.54%
Announcement Date 11/02/22 16/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Rexel

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.21% 9.21% 8.6% 7.86% 8% 8.46% 8.72% 8.95%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.17% 7.32% 6.79% 5.87% 5.96% 6.44% 6.77% 7.08%
EBT Margin (%) 5.3% 6.54% 5.48% 3.31% 4.36% 5.06% 5.58% 6%
Net margin (%) 4.07% 4.93% 4.04% 1.77% 3.05% 3.54% 3.93% 4.2%
FCF margin (%) 2.9% 2.69% 2.96% 2.62% 2.09% 2.59% 3.13% 3.43%
FCF / Net Income (%) 71.2% 54.49% 73.28% 148.39% 68.67% 73.14% 79.6% 81.52%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.55% 7.54% 5.83% 4.72% 4.72% 5.17% 5.35% 5.52%
ROE 14.3% 18.74% 14.33% 11.93% 12.36% 13.62% 14.88% 15.16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.25x 0.85x 1.19x 1.64x 1.69x 2.14x 1.86x 1.55x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.39x 2.9x 3.46x 4.91x 6.48x 6.99x 5.19x 4.06x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.7% 0.67% 0.8% 0.65% 0.7% 0.76% 0.78% 0.79%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.55% 7.28% 9.31% 8.3% 8.77% 9% 9% 8.86%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 24.25% 24.95% 27% 24.86% 33.54% 29.43% 25.08% 23.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.361 2.766 3.131 2.917 2.693 2.19 3.204 3.909
Change - 17.19% 13.19% -6.84% -7.69% -18.67% 46.28% 22.03%
Dividend per Share 1 0.75 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.207 1.287 1.373
Change - 60% 0% 0% 0% 0.61% 6.61% 6.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 14.95 17.44 18.38 18.84 18.81 19.83 20.83 22.72
Change - 16.68% 5.41% 2.46% -0.14% 5.43% 5.01% 9.08%
EPS 1 1.96 3.04 2.57 1.13 1.99 2.436 2.947 3.305
Change - 55.1% -15.46% -56.03% 76.11% 22.42% 20.97% 12.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 304,893 302,604 301,362 290,666 292,507 308,517 308,517 308,517
Announcement Date 11/02/22 16/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.1x 11.7x
PBR 1.74x 1.65x
EV / Sales 0.69x 0.63x
Yield 3.5% 3.74%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Rexel


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Rexel
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Rexel
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
MarketScreener Ratings - Rexel
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
34.45EUR
Average target price
41.86EUR
Spread / Average Target
+21.51%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Rexel