Projected Income Statement: Shell plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 52,555 44,837 43,541 38,809 45,687 40,341 35,398 33,720
Change - -14.69% -2.89% -10.87% 17.72% -11.7% -12.25% -4.74%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 19,000 22,600 22,993 19,601 18,947 21,083 21,048 21,494
Change - 18.95% 1.74% -14.75% -3.34% 11.27% -0.17% 2.12%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 40,345 45,814 36,460 39,530 26,052 32,756 31,077 27,604
Change - 13.56% -20.42% 8.42% -34.1% 25.73% -5.13% -11.18%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.03% 22.1% 21.65% 23.14% 21.03% 22.76% 22.15% 20.78%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.52% 16.42% 11.76% 15.16% 12.73% 15.98% 14.23% 12.99%
EBT Margin (%) 11.41% 17% 10.31% 10.52% 11.15% 14.05% 12.91% 11.65%
Net margin (%) 7.69% 11.1% 6.11% 5.66% 6.68% 8.73% 8.06% 7.69%
FCF margin (%) 15.43% 12.01% 11.52% 13.9% 9.76% 10.12% 10.26% 9.34%
FCF / Net Income (%) 200.71% 108.28% 188.33% 245.63% 146.05% 115.97% 127.32% 121.52%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.92% 9.41% 6.7% 5.97% 4.89% 7.59% 6.63% 5.65%
ROE 11.79% 23.35% 15% 13% 10.51% 17.48% 14.08% 12.75%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.96x 0.53x 0.64x 0.59x 0.81x 0.55x 0.53x 0.55x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.3x 0.98x 1.19x 0.98x 1.75x 1.23x 1.14x 1.22x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.27% 5.93% 7.26% 6.89% 7.1% 6.51% 6.95% 7.27%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.54% 26.81% 33.55% 29.79% 33.75% 28.63% 31.38% 35%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.09% 49.33% 63.06% 49.59% 72.73% 64.36% 67.73% 77.87%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.778 9.232 7.97 8.593 7.206 10.64 9.755 10.46
Change - 59.79% -13.67% 7.82% -16.15% 47.73% -8.36% 7.18%
Dividend per Share 1 0.8935 0.99 1.294 1.39 1.446 1.559 1.628 1.7
Change - 10.8% 30.66% 7.46% 4.03% 7.78% 4.44% 4.45%
Book Value Per Share 1 22.38 27.2 28.6 29.16 30.5 32.88 35.18 39.46
Change - 21.53% 5.16% 1.95% 4.59% 7.81% 6.99% 12.17%
EPS 1 2.57 5.71 2.85 2.53 3 5.58 4.957 4.923
Change - 122.18% -50.09% -11.23% 18.58% 86.02% -11.17% -0.69%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,640,301 7,003,503 6,524,109 6,115,031 5,720,615 5,741,963 5,741,963 5,741,963
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 01/02/24 30/01/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.48x 9.55x
PBR 1.44x 1.35x
EV / Sales 0.96x 1.01x
Yield 3.29% 3.44%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
47.33USD
Average target price
51.51USD
Spread / Average Target
+8.82%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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