Projected Income Statement: Sims Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sims Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet - Sims Limited
Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 449 496 691 607 649 361 240 64.8
Change - 10.47% 39.31% -12.16% 6.92% -44.39% -33.52% -73%
Announcement Date 15/08/22 14/08/23 19/08/24 18/08/25 17/08/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sims Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 274.7 232.5 214.6 194.1 203.4 193.7 199 192.3
Change - -15.36% -7.7% -9.55% 4.79% -4.75% 2.73% -3.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 273.1 216.7 -12.1 103 220.2 466.1 450.5 347
Change - -20.65% -105.58% 951.24% 113.79% 111.68% -3.34% -22.98%
Announcement Date 15/08/22 14/08/23 19/08/24 18/08/25 17/08/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sims Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.35% 5.89% 3.56% 5.74% 9.09% 9.65% 9.25% 8.6%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.16% 3.13% 0.5% 2.33% 5.84% 6.54% 6.16% 5.54%
EBT Margin (%) 8.18% 3.29% 0.91% 0.47% 4.53% 6.07% 5.99% 5.86%
Net margin (%) 6.47% 2.25% -0.68% -0.25% 3.06% 4.22% 4.22% 4.24%
FCF margin (%) 2.95% 2.69% -0.14% 1.37% 2.75% 5.42% 5.06% 3.85%
FCF / Net Income (%) 45.57% 119.66% 20.93% -542.11% 89.77% 128.42% 119.95% 90.92%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.24% 3.96% -2.57% -1.63% 5.34% 9.39% 8.83% 8.73%
ROE 25.74% 6.97% -4.74% -2.95% 9.36% 13.17% 12% 11.05%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.47x 1.04x 2.27x 1.41x 0.89x 0.44x 0.29x 0.08x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.64x 2.29x -57.13x 5.89x 2.95x 0.78x 0.53x 0.19x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.97% 2.88% 2.51% 2.59% 2.54% 2.25% 2.24% 2.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.65% 48.96% 70.41% 45.14% 27.95% 23.36% 24.17% 24.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.59% 107.29% -1,773.55% 188.45% 92.37% 41.56% 44.17% 55.43%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.702 2.273 1.032 1.521 2.164 3.16 3.19 3.195
Change - -15.86% -54.6% 47.38% 42.25% 46.04% 0.95% 0.16%
Dividend per Share 1 0.91 0.35 0.1 0.23 0.34 0.6536 0.6557 0.4586
Change - -61.54% -71.43% 130% 47.83% 92.23% 0.32% -30.06%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.18 13.85 13.28 13.44 13.57 15.26 16.51 17.33
Change - 5.08% -4.12% 1.22% 0.91% 12.52% 8.2% 4.93%
EPS 1 2.956 0.917 -0.299 -0.099 1.253 1.941 1.993 1.966
Change - -68.98% -132.61% 66.89% 1,365.66% 54.93% 2.65% -1.36%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 190,315 192,816 192,936 192,988 193,233 192,165 192,165 192,165
Announcement Date 15/08/22 14/08/23 19/08/24 18/08/25 17/08/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 11.9x 11.6x
PBR 1.51x 1.4x
EV / Sales 0.56x 0.53x
Yield 2.83% 2.84%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Sims Limited


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Sims Limited
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Sims Limited
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Ratings Surperformance© - Sims Limited
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
23.12AUD
Average target price
27.01AUD
Spread / Average Target
+16.81%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Sims Limited
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