Projected Income Statement: Southern Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Southern Company

Forecast Balance Sheet - Southern Company
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 51,919 - 61,252 63,754 70,952 77,861 86,367 91,973
Change - - - 4.08% 11.29% 9.74% 10.92% 6.49%
Announcement Date 17/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 20/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Southern Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,240 9,095 8,955 12,737 16,458 19,404 17,873
Change - - -1.54% 42.23% 29.22% 17.9% -7.89%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,071 -1,542 833 -2,935 -1,748 -2,565 141
Change - - 154.02% -452.34% 40.44% -46.74% 105.5%
Announcement Date 17/02/22 15/02/24 20/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Southern Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 39.47% 31.71% 40.99% 44.24% 43.26% 45.57% 46.74% 48.48%
EBIT Margin (%) 24.05% 19.2% 23.07% 26.45% 24.65% 26.27% 27.75% 29.12%
EBT Margin (%) 11.15% 14.42% 17.21% 19.57% 16.92% 19.04% 20.12% 21.08%
Net margin (%) 10.35% 12.04% 15.74% 16.47% 14.69% 16.3% 17.25% 17.95%
FCF margin (%) -4.63% - -6.11% 3.12% -9.93% -5.65% -7.83% 0.4%
FCF / Net Income (%) -44.76% - -38.78% 18.93% -67.61% -34.69% -45.42% 2.25%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.89% - 2.9% 3.09% 3.16% 3.08% 3.2% 3.31%
ROE 12.96% - 12.86% 13.61% 13.71% 13.39% 13.34% 13.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.69x - 5.92x 5.39x 5.55x 5.53x 5.64x 5.42x
Debt / Free cash flow -48.48x - -39.72x 76.54x -24.17x -44.54x -33.67x 652.29x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 31.32% - 36.02% 33.51% 43.1% 53.24% 59.26% 51.11%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 79.36% - 87.87% 75.74% 99.62% 116.82% 126.78% 105.42%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -676% - -589.82% 1,075.03% -433.97% -941.55% -756.5% 12,675.65%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.776 - 6.879 8.882 8.887 10.16 10.73 -
Change - - - 29.12% 0.05% 14.32% 5.63% -
Dividend per Share 1 2.62 - 2.78 2.86 2.94 3.039 3.133 3.232
Change - - - 2.88% 2.8% 3.36% 3.1% 3.15%
Book Value Per Share 1 26.3 - 28.82 30.27 32.77 35.24 37.88 40.74
Change - - - 5.03% 8.26% 7.52% 7.51% 7.55%
EPS 1 2.26 3.28 3.64 3.99 3.92 4.47 4.908 5.32
Change - 45.13% 10.98% 9.62% -1.75% 14.03% 9.81% 8.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,059,804 1,087,673 1,090,619 1,095,684 1,101,105 1,150,363 1,150,363 1,150,363
Announcement Date 17/02/22 16/02/23 15/02/24 20/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.7x 17.1x
PBR 2.38x 2.21x
EV / Sales 5.64x 5.58x
Yield 3.63% 3.74%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Southern Company


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Southern Company
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Southern Company
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Ratings Surperformance© - Southern Company
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
83.79USD
Average target price
98.13USD
Spread / Average Target
+17.12%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Southern Company
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