Projected Income Statement: Universal Robina Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -9,150 -1,489 4,329 1,066 5,815 6,214 7,158 2,621
Change - 83.73% 390.73% -75.38% 445.5% 6.85% 15.19% -63.38%
Announcement Date 31/03/22 03/04/23 16/04/24 17/03/25 13/03/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 13,200 9,135 10,215 5,977 6,383 9,639 8,727 10,113
Change - -30.79% 11.83% -41.49% 6.81% 51% -9.46% 15.88%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 266.8 2,216 3,067 14,298 4,890 7,625 9,385 9,859
Change - 730.6% 38.41% 366.16% -65.8% 55.93% 23.08% 5.05%
Announcement Date 31/03/22 03/04/23 16/04/24 17/03/25 13/03/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.8% 14.35% 15% 13.36% 13.11% 13.05% 13.32% 13.54%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.87% 10.14% 10.96% 10.29% 9.55% 9.77% 9.96% 10.14%
EBT Margin (%) 12.44% 11.66% 9.9% 9.59% 8.5% 9.04% 9.29% 9.36%
Net margin (%) 19.94% 9.31% 7.63% 7.06% 6.46% 6.85% 7.2% 7.05%
FCF margin (%) 0.23% 1.48% 1.94% 8.83% 2.91% 4.34% 5.09% 5.15%
FCF / Net Income (%) 1.14% 15.88% 25.37% 125.08% 45.05% 63.31% 70.75% 73.06%

Profitability

        
ROA 16% 9% 7% 6.76% 6.43% 6.82% 7.07% 7.37%
ROE 22% 12% 11% 10.11% 9.54% 9.57% 10.17% 10.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.18x 0.05x 0.26x 0.27x 0.29x 0.1x
Debt / Free cash flow - - 1.41x 0.07x 1.19x 0.81x 0.76x 0.27x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.29% 6.09% 6.45% 3.69% 3.8% 5.48% 4.74% 5.28%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 71.43% 42.46% 43% 27.64% 28.97% 42.03% 35.56% 39.01%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4,947.55% 412.23% 333.05% 41.8% 130.53% 126.41% 92.99% 102.58%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.111 5.194 4.643 8.85 5.27 7.843 8.873 9.559
Change - -15% -10.6% 90.59% -40.46% 48.83% 13.13% 7.73%
Dividend per Share 1 3.45 3.45 4 3.8 - 4.158 4.261 4.39
Change - 0% 15.94% -5% - - 2.49% 3.02%
Book Value Per Share 1 49.71 52.95 54.09 55.79 57.96 58.63 60.53 62.38
Change - 6.52% 2.15% 3.14% 3.89% 1.15% 3.25% 3.06%
EPS 1 10.58 6.39 5.55 5.39 - 5.506 6.018 6.286
Change - -39.6% -13.15% -2.88% - - 9.31% 4.45%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,200,983 2,178,508 2,177,423 2,149,197 2,137,894 2,137,091 2,137,091 2,137,091
Announcement Date 31/03/22 03/04/23 16/04/24 17/03/25 13/03/26 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 10.2x 9.29x
PBR 0.95x 0.92x
EV / Sales 0.72x 0.69x
Yield 7.44% 7.62%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
55.90PHP
Average target price
75.90PHP
Spread / Average Target
+35.78%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. URC Stock
  4. Financials Universal Robina Corporation
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