Projected Income Statement: Alligo AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,272 - 2,640 2,903 3,143 2,683 2,312 1,927
Change - - - 9.96% 8.27% -14.64% -13.83% -16.65%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 16/02/23 16/02/24 14/02/25 13/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 171 215 111 103 112.5 126 132
Change - - -48.37% -7.21% 9.22% 12% 4.76%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 772 778 841 695 1,039 1,044 1,114
Change - - 8.1% -17.36% 49.5% 0.45% 6.77%
Announcement Date 15/02/22 16/02/24 14/02/25 13/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alligo AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.2% 12.38% 13.54% 12.14% 11.26% 13.31% 14.22% 14.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.02% 7.17% 7.91% 5.35% 4.89% 7.02% 7.98% 8.59%
EBT Margin (%) 4.45% 6.56% 6.7% 3.8% 3.68% 5.99% 7.07% 7.76%
Net margin (%) 5.04% 43.51% 5.25% 2.9% 2.71% 4.68% 5.51% 6.05%
FCF margin (%) 9.07% - 8.22% 8.91% 7.21% 10.2% 9.7% 9.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) 179.95% - 156.54% 306.93% 266.28% 217.93% 176.07% 163.33%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.2% - 5.8% 3.02% - - - -
ROE 13.3% - 14.16% 7.61% 7% 12.1% 13.52% 14.18%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.88x - 2.06x 2.53x 2.9x 1.98x 1.51x 1.16x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.94x - 3.39x 3.45x 4.52x 2.58x 2.21x 1.73x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.01% - 2.27% 1.18% 1.07% 1.1% 1.17% 1.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.16% - 16.78% 9.69% 9.49% 8.3% 8.24% 7.97%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.15% - 27.63% 13.2% 14.82% 10.83% 12.07% 11.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 17.81 - 19.5 18.66 15.93 25 26.2 29.5
Change - - - -4.29% -14.65% 56.94% 4.8% 12.6%
Dividend per Share 1 1.75 - 3.5 2 2.2 3.62 4.332 5.068
Change - - - -42.86% 10% 64.55% 19.68% 16.96%
Book Value Per Share 1 67.95 - 70.95 73.06 74.89 83.22 91.3 100.4
Change - - - 2.97% 2.51% 11.12% 9.72% 9.93%
EPS 1 8.48 80.44 9.76 5.47 5.21 9.478 11.83 13.62
Change - 848.56% -87.87% -43.95% -4.75% 81.91% 24.82% 15.09%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 50,481 50,481 50,051 50,068 50,088 50,088 50,088 50,088
Announcement Date 15/02/22 16/02/23 16/02/24 14/02/25 13/02/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 14x 11.2x
PBR 1.6x 1.45x
EV / Sales 0.92x 0.83x
Yield 2.73% 3.26%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
132.80SEK
Average target price
171.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
+28.77%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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