Projected Income Statement: APA Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: APA Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 10,021 11,024 12,316 13,219 12,516 13,091 13,777 13,859
Change - 10.01% 11.72% 7.33% -5.32% 4.59% 5.24% 0.6%
Announcement Date 23/08/22 22/08/23 27/08/24 19/08/25 19/08/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: APA Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 660.8 1,166 1,053 918 824 1,460 1,537 1,159
Change - 76.46% -9.69% -12.82% -10.24% 77.24% 5.23% -24.59%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -73.41 237 1,073 1,083 1,118 1,233 1,192 1,268
Change - 422.84% 352.74% 0.93% 3.23% 10.32% -3.36% 6.35%
Announcement Date 23/08/22 22/08/23 27/08/24 19/08/25 19/08/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: APA Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 61.93% 59.22% 61.78% 62.89% 72.69% 71.21% 71.61% 74.04%
EBIT Margin (%) 35.03% 33.47% 31.79% 28.21% 35.06% 38.07% 38.87% 41.51%
EBT Margin (%) 16.11% 16.37% 35.02% 7.71% 13.32% 15.77% 16.66% 19.11%
Net margin (%) 9.5% 9.85% 32.57% 4.03% 7.79% 9.88% 10.56% 12.32%
FCF margin (%) -2.69% 8.14% 35.02% 33.8% 37.23% 38.25% 35.36% 36.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) -28.27% 82.58% 107.52% 839.53% 477.78% 387.1% 334.93% 293.15%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.57% 1.83% 1.19% 0.98% 1.1% 2.23% 3.05% 3.52%
ROE 9.31% 12.78% 8.14% 6.56% 8.2% 13.51% 18.44% 28.16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.92x 6.39x 6.51x 6.56x 5.73x 5.7x 5.71x 5.33x
Debt / Free cash flow -136.51x 46.51x 11.48x 12.21x 11.19x 10.61x 11.56x 10.93x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 24.18% 40.03% 34.37% 28.65% 27.44% 45.29% 45.58% 33.01%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.05% 67.59% 55.63% 45.56% 37.75% 63.6% 63.66% 44.59%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -900.09% 491.98% 98.14% 84.76% 73.7% 118.4% 128.93% 91.42%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.015 1.02 0.9117 0.9886 0.9514 1.064 1.082 1.157
Change - 0.55% -10.64% 8.43% -3.76% 11.83% 1.68% 6.91%
Dividend per Share 1 0.53 0.55 0.56 0.57 0.58 0.591 0.6013 0.6137
Change - 3.77% 1.82% 1.79% 1.75% 1.9% 1.75% 2.06%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.228 1.619 2.531 2.045 2.039 1.57 1.264 1.02
Change - -27.33% 56.34% -19.19% -0.31% -23.01% -19.47% -19.29%
EPS 1 0.221 0.243 0.789 0.099 0.178 0.24 0.2678 0.3221
Change - 9.95% 224.69% -87.45% 79.8% 34.81% 11.59% 20.28%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,179,894 1,179,894 1,283,353 1,304,488 1,323,751 1,323,751 1,323,751 1,323,751
Announcement Date 23/08/22 22/08/23 27/08/24 19/08/25 19/08/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 45.5x 40.7x
PBR 6.95x 8.63x
EV / Sales 8.54x 8.37x
Yield 5.42% 5.51%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
10.91AUD
Average target price
9.766AUD
Spread / Average Target
-10.49%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. APA Stock
  4. Financials APA Group
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