Projected Income Statement: Canon Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -180,131 44,407 12,169 17,065 360,178 303,767 268,434 132,487
Change - 124.65% -72.6% 40.23% 2,010.62% -15.66% -11.63% -50.64%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 30/01/23 30/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 179,000 183,291 231,725 256,267 249,530 262,143 250,833 250,000
Change - 2.4% 26.42% 10.59% -2.63% 5.05% -4.31% -0.33%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 273,678 81,783 175,818 350,564 226,373 277,025 294,590 316,085
Change - -70.12% 114.98% 99.39% -35.43% 22.38% 6.34% 7.3%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 30/01/23 30/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.32% 14.38% 14.69% 11.42% 15.02% 14.57% 14.56% 15.01%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.02% 8.77% 8.98% 6.2% 9.85% 9.62% 9.68% 10.13%
EBT Margin (%) 8.62% 8.74% 9.35% 6.68% 10.42% 10.11% 9.97% 10.41%
Net margin (%) 6.11% 6.05% 6.33% 3.55% 7.18% 6.92% 6.74% 6.98%
FCF margin (%) 7.79% 2.03% 4.21% 7.77% 4.89% 5.8% 5.97% 6.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) 127.46% 33.52% 66.47% 219.07% 68.17% 83.85% 88.59% 89.91%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.46% 7.16% 7.43% 2.86% 8.1% 5.96% 5.95% 6.31%
ROE 7.9% 8.1% 8.2% 4.75% 9.7% 9.33% 9.39% 9.86%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.08x 0.02x 0.03x 0.52x 0.44x 0.37x 0.18x
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.54x 0.07x 0.05x 1.59x 1.1x 0.91x 0.42x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.09% 4.55% 5.54% 5.68% 5.4% 5.49% 5.08% 4.96%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.57% 31.61% 37.74% 49.74% 35.92% 37.67% 34.91% 33.05%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 65.41% 224.12% 131.8% 73.1% 110.23% 94.63% 85.15% 79.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 416.9 456.5 502.6 627.4 632.2 649.9 684.9 761.1
Change - 9.48% 10.11% 24.83% 0.77% 2.79% 5.38% 11.13%
Dividend per Share 1 100 120 140 155 160 160.6 167.3 173.9
Change - 20% 16.67% 10.71% 3.23% 0.37% 4.17% 3.99%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,748 3,066 3,395 3,495 3,975 4,127 4,345 4,601
Change - 11.56% 10.73% 2.94% 13.74% 3.83% 5.28% 5.9%
EPS 1 205.4 236.7 264.2 165.5 367.5 376.4 394.1 424.2
Change - 15.27% 11.61% -37.35% 122% 2.43% 4.7% 7.65%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,045,773 1,015,514 987,800 943,995 878,626 849,339 849,339 849,339
Announcement Date 27/01/22 30/01/23 30/01/24 30/01/25 29/01/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.8x 11.3x
PBR 1.08x 1.02x
EV / Sales 0.86x 0.82x
Yield 3.61% 3.76%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
4,449.00JPY
Average target price
4,725.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+6.20%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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