Projected Income Statement: Experian plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Experian plc

Forecast Balance Sheet - Experian plc
Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 3,917 3,897 3,954 4,648 5,234 5,498 4,706 3,705
Change - -0.51% 1.46% 17.55% 12.61% 5.04% -14.41% -21.27%
Announcement Date 18/05/22 17/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 20/05/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 485 627 640 651 726 746.4 753.6 784.5
Change - 29.28% 2.07% 1.72% 11.52% 2.81% 0.96% 4.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,311 1,090 1,107 1,354 1,513 1,900 2,163 2,264
Change - -16.86% 1.56% 22.31% 11.74% 25.56% 13.86% 4.66%
Announcement Date 18/05/22 17/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 20/05/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 33.86% 34.39% 34.51% 34.96% 35.64% 36.12% 36.6% 36.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.16% 27.1% 27.17% 27.69% 28.38% 29.03% 29.57% 30.1%
EBT Margin (%) 23.01% 17.74% 21.85% 20.59% 23.1% 23.56% 24.63% 25.79%
Net margin (%) 18.53% 11.63% 16.89% 15.5% 17.79% 17.47% 18.2% 19.21%
FCF margin (%) 20.85% 16.47% 15.6% 18% 17.92% 20.72% 21.96% 21.36%
FCF / Net Income (%) 112.53% 141.56% 92.33% 116.12% 100.73% 118.58% 120.65% 111.19%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.86% 7.08% 10.62% 11.66% 11.05% 11.55% 12.49% 13.27%
ROE 32.28% 19.5% 28% 29.6% 28.34% 33.07% 35.8% 36.56%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.84x 1.71x 1.61x 1.77x 1.74x 1.66x 1.31x 0.95x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.99x 3.58x 3.57x 3.43x 3.46x 2.89x 2.18x 1.64x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.71% 9.47% 9.02% 8.65% 8.6% 8.14% 7.65% 7.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.78% 27.55% 26.13% 24.75% 24.12% 22.53% 20.91% 20.09%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.99% 57.52% 57.81% 48.08% 47.98% 39.29% 34.84% 34.65%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.95 1.864 1.897 2.175 2.436 2.915 3.296 3.592
Change - -4.4% 1.75% 14.64% 12.03% 19.66% 13.05% 8.99%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5175 0.5475 0.585 0.625 0.6925 0.7675 0.8603 0.9546
Change - 5.8% 6.85% 6.84% 10.8% 10.83% 12.1% 10.96%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.304 4.266 5.032 5.482 6.034 5.918 6.616 7.462
Change - -0.89% 17.94% 8.95% 10.07% -1.91% 11.78% 12.79%
EPS 1 1.248 0.836 1.302 1.265 1.634 1.812 2.066 2.374
Change - -33.01% 55.74% -2.84% 29.17% 10.89% 14.01% 14.9%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 914,038 912,453 912,895 913,734 899,266 876,264 876,264 876,264
Announcement Date 18/05/22 17/05/23 15/05/24 14/05/25 20/05/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 22.6x 19.8x
PBR 6.92x 6.19x
EV / Sales 4.51x 4.12x
Yield 1.87% 2.1%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Experian plc


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Experian plc
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Experian plc
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Experian plc
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
40.95USD
Average target price
49.01USD
Spread / Average Target
+19.68%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Experian plc
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