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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 498.80 SEK | -2.96% |
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-3.15% | +19.05% |
| 06-26 | Handelsbanken cuts its target price for HMS Networks to 563 kronor (600), reiterates Hold - BN | FW |
| 06-25 | Pareto: Strong demand for HMS, but valuation limits upside | FW |
Projected Income Statement: HMS Networks AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,972 | 2,506 | 3,025 | 3,059 | 3,577 | 4,053 | 4,511 | 4,851 |
| Change | - | 27.08% | 20.71% | 1.12% | 16.93% | 13.31% | 11.3% | 7.54% |
| EBITDA 1 | 548 | 760 | 877 | 796 | 1,064 | 1,240 | 1,388 | 1,506 |
| Change | - | 38.69% | 15.39% | -9.24% | 33.67% | 16.58% | 11.9% | 8.47% |
| EBIT 1 | 446 | 653 | 753 | 503 | 762 | 972.3 | 1,117 | 1,236 |
| Change | - | 46.41% | 15.31% | -33.2% | 51.49% | 27.59% | 14.89% | 10.65% |
| Interest Paid 1 | 3 | -28 | -35 | -138 | -112 | -99.7 | -65.5 | -48.7 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 448 | 623 | 717 | 364 | 650 | 872.8 | 1,052 | 1,188 |
| Change | - | 39.06% | 15.09% | -49.23% | 78.57% | 34.28% | 20.49% | 12.93% |
| Net income 1 | 355 | 508 | 571 | 310 | 435 | 697.7 | 836.6 | 942 |
| Change | - | 43.1% | 12.4% | -45.71% | 40.32% | 60.38% | 19.92% | 12.6% |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 26/01/24 | 28/01/25 | 27/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: HMS Networks AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 347 | 300 | 289 | 3,293 | 2,354 | 1,919 | 1,396 | 779 |
| Change | - | -13.54% | -3.67% | 1,039.45% | -28.52% | -18.48% | -27.25% | -44.2% |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 26/01/24 | 28/01/25 | 27/01/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: HMS Networks AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 39 | 83.05 | 73.88 | 121 | 133 | 199 | 191.8 | 200.4 |
| Change | - | 112.96% | -11.04% | 63.77% | 9.92% | 49.62% | -3.62% | 4.46% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 408 | 65.18 | 445 | 471 | 744 | 661.4 | 845.3 | 974.3 |
| Change | - | -84.02% | 582.64% | 5.85% | 57.96% | -11.11% | 27.82% | 15.26% |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 26/01/24 | 28/01/25 | 27/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: HMS Networks AB
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 27.79% | 30.33% | 28.99% | 26.02% | 29.75% | 30.6% | 30.77% | 31.03% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 22.62% | 26.06% | 24.89% | 16.44% | 21.3% | 23.99% | 24.76% | 25.48% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 22.72% | 24.86% | 23.7% | 11.9% | 18.17% | 21.53% | 23.31% | 24.48% |
| Net margin (%) | 18% | 20.27% | 18.88% | 10.13% | 12.16% | 17.21% | 18.54% | 19.42% |
| FCF margin (%) | 20.69% | 2.6% | 14.71% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 16.32% | 18.74% | 20.08% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 114.93% | 12.83% | 77.93% | 151.94% | 171.03% | 94.8% | 101.04% | 103.43% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 17.62% | 20.58% | 19.89% | 5.9% | - | - | - | - |
| ROE | 29.1% | 37.6% | 32.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 18.78% | 19.58% | 19.4% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.63x | 0.39x | 0.33x | 4.14x | 2.21x | 1.55x | 1.01x | 0.52x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.85x | 4.6x | 0.65x | 6.99x | 3.16x | 2.9x | 1.65x | 0.8x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.98% | 3.31% | 2.44% | 3.96% | 3.72% | 4.91% | 4.25% | 4.13% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 7.12% | 10.93% | 8.42% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 16.04% | 13.82% | 13.31% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 9.56% | 127.41% | 16.6% | 25.69% | 17.88% | 30.09% | 22.69% | 20.56% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 10.9 | 9.24 | 11.12 | 12.14 | 17.48 | 20.3 | 22.4 | 24.9 |
| Change | - | -15.23% | 20.35% | 9.17% | 43.99% | 16.13% | 10.34% | 11.16% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 3 | 4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 5.618 | 6.336 | 7.052 |
| Change | - | 33.33% | 10% | 0% | 9.09% | 17.04% | 12.78% | 11.3% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 4.32 | 32.54 | 37.82 | 55.54 | 68.35 | 79.1 | 90.09 | 102.3 |
| Change | - | 653.24% | 16.23% | 46.85% | 23.06% | 15.73% | 13.9% | 13.57% |
| EPS 1 | 7.57 | 10.89 | 12.19 | 6.34 | 8.66 | 13.87 | 16.63 | 18.73 |
| Change | - | 43.86% | 11.94% | -47.99% | 36.59% | 60.18% | 19.9% | 12.63% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 46,661 | 46,643 | 46,656 | 50,175 | 50,184 | 50,194 | 50,194 | 50,194 |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 26/01/24 | 28/01/25 | 27/01/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 36x | 30x |
| PBR | 6.31x | 5.54x |
| EV / Sales | 6.65x | 5.86x |
| Yield | 1.13% | 1.27% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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