Projected Income Statement: LVMH

Forecast Balance Sheet: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,607 27,847 30,671 31,143 27,567 23,591 20,204 15,753
Change - 189.86% 10.14% 1.54% -11.48% -14.42% -14.36% -22.03%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,664 4,969 7,478 5,531 4,567 4,692 4,873 5,049
Change - 86.52% 50.49% -26.04% -17.43% 2.75% 3.84% 3.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 13,531 10,113 8,104 10,478 11,333 11,816 12,908 14,418
Change - -25.26% -19.87% 29.29% 8.16% 4.26% 9.24% 11.7%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.79% 34.45% 34.8% 32.32% 31.87% 29.72% 31.04% 31.41%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.71% 26.59% 26.47% 23.11% 21.97% 21.67% 22.45% 22.9%
EBT Margin (%) 26.8% 25.4% 25.1% 21.39% 20.66% 20.73% 21.55% 22.26%
Net margin (%) 18.74% 17.79% 17.61% 14.82% 13.46% 13.52% 14.94% 15.63%
FCF margin (%) 21.07% 12.77% 9.41% 12.37% 14.02% 14.65% 15.21% 16.06%
FCF / Net Income (%) 112.42% 71.8% 53.41% 83.49% 104.18% 108.32% 101.76% 102.74%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.29% 10.84% 10.9% 12.37% 7.47% 8.09% 8.96% 9.52%
ROE 28.48% 27.55% 26.13% 27.88% 16.12% 15.43% 16.69% 17.01%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.42x 1.02x 1.02x 1.14x 1.07x 0.98x 0.77x 0.56x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.71x 2.75x 3.78x 2.97x 2.43x 2x 1.57x 1.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 6.28% 8.68% 6.53% 5.65% 5.82% 5.74% 5.62%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.59% 18.21% 24.94% 20.21% 17.73% 19.57% 18.49% 17.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.69% 49.13% 92.28% 52.79% 40.3% 39.71% 37.75% 35.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 37.01 35.49 36.78 37.87 37.9 33.49 36.63 39.18
Change - -4.1% 3.63% 2.98% 0.08% -11.64% 9.38% 6.97%
Dividend per Share 1 7 12 13 13 13 12.88 14.09 15.13
Change - 71.43% 8.33% 0% 0% -0.93% 9.41% 7.39%
Book Value Per Share 1 93.56 109.8 122.2 135.1 135.5 144 156.8 169
Change - 17.31% 11.29% 10.62% 0.28% 6.29% 8.85% 7.79%
EPS 1 23.89 28.03 30.33 25.12 21.85 21.94 25.55 28.15
Change - 17.33% 8.21% -17.18% -13.02% 0.43% 16.42% 10.21%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 503,785 501,103 499,410 499,744 495,126 496,391 496,391 496,391
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 27/01/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.3x 19.2x
PBR 3.4x 3.12x
EV / Sales 3.31x 3.1x
Yield 2.63% 2.88%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
489.90EUR
Average target price
576.93EUR
Spread / Average Target
+17.76%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise