Projected Income Statement: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet - Lynas Rare Earths Limited
Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -779 -834 -352 -15.2 -871 -1,152 -1,798 -2,705
Change - -7.06% 57.79% 95.68% -5,630.26% -32.3% -56.08% -50.44%
Announcement Date 25/08/22 28/08/23 27/08/24 27/08/25 25/08/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 186.3 595.5 579.3 430.8 178.3 353.4 433.5 228
Change - 219.65% -2.72% -25.64% -58.62% 98.23% 22.67% -47.4%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 273.8 -208.8 -544.4 -326.7 140.5 463.5 679 1,027
Change - -176.25% -160.76% 39.99% 143.02% 229.79% 46.49% 51.22%
Announcement Date 25/08/22 28/08/23 27/08/24 27/08/25 25/08/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 65.35% 51.09% 28.52% 18.18% 39.47% 55.17% 59.23% 66.82%
EBIT Margin (%) 58.76% 42.68% 16.24% 1.11% 25.29% 43.86% 51.35% 57.92%
EBT Margin (%) 58.23% 47.05% 22.77% 1.75% 26.18% 43.37% 51.01% 53.73%
Net margin (%) 58.78% 42.02% 18.24% 1.44% 22.74% 34.26% 40.31% 42.57%
FCF margin (%) 29.76% -28.24% -117.5% -58.7% 14.37% 28.41% 32.7% 39.91%
FCF / Net Income (%) 50.62% -67.2% -644.12% -4,088.31% 63.21% 82.93% 81.11% 93.76%

Profitability

        
ROA 30.56% 13.22% 3.11% 0.28% 6.11% 11.47% 13.53% 15.97%
ROE 39.63% 16.31% 3.84% 0.35% 7.61% 12.9% 16.92% 19.08%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 20.25% 80.55% 125.05% 77.41% 18.23% 21.66% 20.87% 8.86%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.99% 157.68% 438.45% 425.77% 46.18% 39.26% 35.25% 13.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 68.05% -285.26% -106.42% -131.89% 126.84% 76.24% 63.84% 22.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5079 0.4223 0.0373 0.1109 0.3163 0.6422 0.9991 1.187
Change - -16.85% -91.17% 197.48% 185.21% 103.03% 55.58% 18.79%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 0.085 0.0953 0.5507
Change - - - - - - 12.13% 477.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.824 2.317 2.399 2.515 3.468 4.028 4.877 5.788
Change - 27.04% 3.57% 4.82% 37.88% 16.15% 21.08% 18.67%
EPS 1 0.597 0.3392 0.0901 0.0085 0.2206 0.5435 0.7988 1.05
Change - -43.18% -73.44% -90.57% 2,495.29% 146.38% 46.98% 31.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 902,412 933,815 934,718 935,447 1,006,503 1,006,503 1,006,503 1,006,503
Announcement Date 25/08/22 28/08/23 27/08/24 27/08/25 25/08/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 19.7x 13.4x
PBR 2.66x 2.2x
EV / Sales 5.9x 4.33x
Yield 0.79% 0.89%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Lynas Rare Earths Limited


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Lynas Rare Earths Limited
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Lynas Rare Earths Limited
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Lynas Rare Earths Limited
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
10.71AUD
Average target price
17.24AUD
Spread / Average Target
+60.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Lynas Rare Earths Limited
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