Projected Income Statement: Progressive Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Progressive Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt - 3,323 6,804 - - - - -
Change - - 104.75% - - - - -
Announcement Date 26/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Progressive Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
CAPEX 1 223.5 243.5 292 252 285 348
Change - 8.95% 19.92% -13.7% 13.1% 22.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -5,334 11,285 3,203 11,529 17,324 11,832
Change - 311.59% -71.62% 259.95% 50.26% -31.7%
Announcement Date 01/03/21 28/02/22 27/02/23 26/02/24 03/03/25 02/03/26
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Progressive Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - - - 8.89% - - - - -
EBIT Margin (%) - 9.54% 2.28% 8.4% 14.77% - - - -
EBT Margin (%) - 9.07% 1.81% 7.97% 14.39% 17.1% 14.24% 12.84% 11.99%
Net margin (%) - 7.22% 1.41% 6.34% 11.39% 13.6% 11.11% 10.03% 9.33%
FCF margin (%) - - 12.84% 16.88% - - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - - 908.77% 266.28% - - - - -

Profitability

         
ROA - 4.96% 0.98% 4.75% 8.72% 9.89% 7.3% 6.6% 6.3%
ROE - 12.19% 13% 21.58% 36.98% 38.38% 29.34% 24.95% 22.03%

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.71x 1.03x 3.66x 1.28x 0.62x 0.47x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -1.03x 0.43x 1.97x 0.61x 0.4x 0.59x - - -

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 0.52% 0.57% 0.41% - - - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - - 4.61% - - - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - 4.45% 2.43% - - - - -

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - - 11.67 - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - 1.9 0.4 1.15 4.9 13.9 8.807 6.768 6.749
Change - - -78.95% 187.5% 326.09% 183.67% -36.64% -23.16% -0.28%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 30.35 26.32 33.8 43.67 51.74 61.5 71.5 78.26
Change - - -13.28% 28.42% 29.2% 18.48% 18.86% 16.26% 9.46%
EPS 1 - 5.66 1.18 6.58 14.4 19.23 16.3 16.46 17.41
Change - - -79.15% 457.63% 118.84% 33.54% -15.25% 1% 5.79%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 585,064 585,070 584,961 585,812 586,397 584,336 584,336 584,336
Announcement Date - 26/01/22 25/01/23 24/01/24 29/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 12.5x 12.4x
PBR 3.32x 2.86x
EV / Sales 1.35x 1.26x
Yield 4.31% 3.31%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
204.20USD
Average target price
230.86USD
Spread / Average Target
+13.05%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. PGR Stock
  4. Financials Progressive Corporation
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