Projected Income Statement: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet - China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 248,040 363,852 443,920 434,720 525,477 458,884 512,546 620,297
Change - 46.69% 22.01% -2.07% 20.88% -12.67% 11.69% 21.02%
Announcement Date 15/04/22 17/04/23 18/04/24 15/04/25 17/04/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 28,321 23,466 31,503 11,389 21,467 20,603 14,215 8,603
Change - -17.14% 34.25% -63.85% 88.49% -4.02% -31.01% -39.48%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - -19,637 -20,473 4,385 - - - -
Change - - -4.26% 121.42% - - - -
Announcement Date 15/04/22 17/04/23 18/04/24 15/04/25 17/04/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.71% 4.6% 4.49% 4.12% 3.72% 5.23% 5% 4.7%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.32% 4.22% 4.11% 3.68% 3.31% 3.46% 3.35% 3.42%
EBT Margin (%) 5.33% 4.32% 4.1% 3.66% 3.37% 3.21% 3.3% 3.27%
Net margin (%) 2.72% 2.48% 2.4% 2.11% 1.88% 1.75% 1.83% 1.85%
FCF margin (%) - -0.96% -0.9% 0.2% - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - -38.54% -37.73% 9.49% - - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 2.24% 2.02% 1.75% 1.36% 1.16% 1% 1.1% 1.15%
ROE 15.93% 13.94% 13.36% 10.37% 8.15% 7.05% 7.07% 6.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.3x 3.85x 4.37x 4.82x 6.78x 4.3x 4.83x 6.01x
Debt / Free cash flow - -18.53x -21.68x 99.14x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.5% 1.14% 1.39% 0.52% 1.03% 1.01% 0.67% 0.39%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.23% 24.8% 30.99% 12.63% 27.71% 19.3% 13.4% 8.34%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -119.5% -153.88% 259.72% - - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3424 0.0913 0.2631 0.3791 0.497 0.945 0.9233 1.163
Change - -73.34% 188.17% 44.09% 31.1% 90.14% -2.29% 25.99%
Dividend per Share 1 0.25 0.2527 0.2714 0.2715 0.2718 0.2442 0.2626 0.2726
Change - 1.08% 7.42% 0.02% 0.11% -10.15% 7.53% 3.81%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.96 8.926 9.983 10.89 11.68 12.5 13.18 13.85
Change - 12.14% 11.84% 9.09% 7.24% 7.06% 5.41% 5.09%
EPS 1 1.25 1.23 1.31 1.11 0.94 0.867 0.9402 0.9726
Change - -1.6% 6.5% -15.27% -15.32% -7.77% 8.44% 3.45%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 41,948,168 41,934,433 41,919,514 41,610,322 41,320,390 41,320,390 41,320,390 41,320,390
Announcement Date 15/04/22 17/04/23 18/04/24 15/04/25 17/04/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 5.24x 4.83x
PBR 0.36x 0.34x
EV / Sales 0.32x 0.33x
Yield 5.38% 5.78%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
4.540CNY
Average target price
5.496CNY
Spread / Average Target
+21.06%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited
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